inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 93 Excitement1.3 [1071] MVPChristian Braun (DEN): +21.8%
Denver Nuggets 129 Comeback1.4 [980] LVPReed Sheppard (HOU): -10.7%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.031055%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Amen Thompson0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.001455%0.062-0.0310%-0.01
Tari Eason0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00944%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Crawford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02536%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Josh Okogie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.021150%0.0000.0020%-0.00
Jeff Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01756%0.032-0.03250%-0.00
Alperen Sengun-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01850%0.042-0.0440%-0.08
Aaron Holiday-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.140.00-0.131010%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00865%0.033-0.051100%-0.01
Reed Sheppard-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.001237%-0.033-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.190.060.031095%0.2200.0000%0.00
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.030.01985%0.1700.002100%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.140.000.082162%0.0610.00683%0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.000.086100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.07978%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01240%0.0000.0010%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
David Roddy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01550%-0.011-0.00450%-0.01
Nikola Joki?0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.011255%0.095-0.11580%0.01
Spencer Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.30.129.00.030.10.027.00.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +20.0%
DEN +14.1%
HOU -2.5%
DEN +15.9%
DEN +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game15.313.614.293.0130.3113.4
season15.414.6115.5119.3
opponent14.114.0114.7110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.416.714.514.615.3
DEN13.213.313.214.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Crawford2524-0.00-0.500.490.35-12-241214.615.5-0.8514.713.21.51
Jeff Green2524-0.00-0.500.490.35-12-241214.615.5-0.8514.713.21.51
Aaron Holiday5150-0.33-0.17-0.170.55-30-6-2414.616.0-1.4513.913.30.67
Josh Okogie8686-0.35-0.15-0.210.47-28-8-2015.315.3-0.0114.010.83.27
Jabari Smith Jr.6769-0.40-0.10-0.310.18-20-16-415.415.10.2813.314.2-0.85
Alperen Sengun6565-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-18-18016.113.82.3213.613.6-0.06
Clint Capela9898-0.45-0.05-0.400.58-35-1-3415.62.013.5513.73.010.71
Kevin Durant6566-0.46-0.04-0.410.10-19-17-216.113.82.3213.414.0-0.55
Tari Eason6666-0.47-0.03-0.430.09-19-17-215.914.11.7613.414.0-0.55
Amen Thompson7575-0.50-0.00-0.490.21-24-12-1215.514.60.8513.214.7-1.51
Reed Sheppard8584-0.500.00-0.500.47-33-3-3015.414.70.6413.514.3-0.86

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.84850.500.000.50-0.473333013.514.3-0.8615.414.70.64
Nikola Joki?75750.500.000.49-0.2124121213.214.7-1.5115.514.60.85
Christian Braun68670.470.030.44-0.091917213.314.2-0.9015.714.51.23
Aaron Gordon66660.470.030.43-0.091917213.414.0-0.5515.914.11.76
Jamal Murray72720.410.090.31-0.3325111413.613.7-0.1915.714.31.38
Bruce Brown79790.390.110.29-0.513152613.912.51.3915.016.4-1.39
Cameron Johnson59590.360.140.22-0.262115613.713.50.1815.115.5-0.43
Spencer Jones72710.320.180.15-0.502882013.912.71.1914.716.6-1.89
Tyus Jones24250.000.50-0.49-0.351224-1214.713.21.5114.615.5-0.85
Julian Strawther24250.000.50-0.49-0.351224-1214.713.21.5114.615.5-0.85
Jalen Pickett24250.000.50-0.49-0.351224-1214.713.21.5114.615.5-0.85
Zeke Nnaji24250.000.50-0.49-0.351224-1214.713.21.5114.615.5-0.85
David Roddy24250.000.50-0.49-0.351224-1214.713.21.5114.615.5-0.85
Jonas Valan?i?nas2423-0.090.59-0.67-0.29729-2215.712.92.7714.315.6-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 92, NYK 1100.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%
POR 77, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
HOU 102, BOS 1180.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%