NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	6.0 [513]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +26.2%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	1.1 [820]		LVP	Cooper Flagg (DAL): -14.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.09	0.02	16	66%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.04	-0.04	8	80%	0.18	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Gafford	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	81%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Naji Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Cooper Flagg	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	16	41%	-0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.14	0.01	18	63%	0.28	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.00	12	69%	0.17	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.04	0.09	19	76%	0.13	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	15	39%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.3	26.2	13.4	29.8	2.2	31.2	131.7
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.3%

DAL -1.9%

ATL +1.1%

ATL +7.2%

ATL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	14.2	110.9	125.3	113.4
season	13.9	13.3		109.2	113.1
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.3	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	15.0	16.3	15.4	15.3
ATL	11.1	14.4	13.7	15.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Nembhard	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-17	22	14.9	15.3	-0.39	14.2	13.3	0.85
Brandon Williams	80	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.2	15.3	-0.08	13.2	14.4	-1.21
Khris Middleton	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	15.5	14.6	0.83	13.8	12.4	1.40
Marvin Bagley III	84	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-6	0	16.2	10.9	5.27	13.5	13.5	-0.07
P.J. Washington	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	15.6	13.0	2.57	13.5	13.6	-0.18
Naji Marshall	94	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	15.6	11.1	4.43	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Klay Thompson	98	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	1	-14	15.4	11.0	4.40	13.4	16.2	-2.89
Max Christie	95	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	2	-16	15.7	7.8	7.90	13.5	13.0	0.51
Cooper Flagg	81	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.10	-20	8	-28	15.6	14.1	1.46	13.4	13.9	-0.60
Daniel Gafford	82	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.02	-23	11	-34	15.4	14.8	0.52	13.0	15.4	-2.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	88	91	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.04	25	-13	38	13.2	16.0	-2.84	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Dyson Daniels	84	87	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-7	26	13.4	14.1	-0.70	15.5	13.9	1.55
Onyeka Okongwu	81	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.14	18	-6	24	13.4	13.6	-0.17	15.5	14.1	1.47
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	99	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	13.5	0.0	13.47	15.3	0.0	15.27
Jalen Johnson	93	95	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	2	8	13.6	11.5	2.10	15.5	11.0	4.54
Mouhamed Gueye	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	3	6	13.1	13.9	-0.82	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Corey Kispert	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	13	-14	14.8	12.9	1.86	17.0	14.6	2.35
Gabe Vincent	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	7	-2	12.6	14.3	-1.77	15.8	14.8	1.05
Zaccharie Risacher	61	62	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	10	-8	12.9	14.3	-1.41	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jock Landale	66	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	13.3	13.7	-0.38	15.2	15.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.9%
MEM 104, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
ATL 85, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%