NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	4.7 [893]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +28.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.1 [873]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -8.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.24	0.08	0.04	15	97%	0.36	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Al Horford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.05	0.09	-0.06	13	53%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	15	49%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	6	29%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	31.0	15.6	24.4	2.3	31.4	133.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.7%

PHI +1.6%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +27.7%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	18.2	15.5	101.2	118.1	106.4
season	15.8	15.5		106.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.1		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	15.6	19.0	15.8	16.3
PHI	17.0	17.1	18.9	20.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-17	21	15.8	16.4	-0.60	20.9	17.8	3.14
Solomon Jones	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	25.0	16.1	8.94	25.0	18.1	6.85
Othello Hunter	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	25.0	16.1	8.94	25.0	18.1	6.85
Zaza Pachulia	51	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-14	15	15.9	16.9	-1.05	18.6	17.5	1.09
Ronald Murray	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-13	13	15.3	18.2	-2.91	19.0	16.6	2.41
Maurice Evans	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-4	-5	16.3	16.2	0.19	18.2	18.4	-0.20
Al Horford	41	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	16.1	16.4	-0.30	18.2	18.3	-0.11
Josh Smith	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	4	-21	16.4	15.8	0.60	17.8	20.9	-3.14
Joe Johnson	75	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	2	-17	16.4	15.3	1.05	17.9	20.6	-2.70
Mike Bibby	57	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	4	-21	16.9	15.0	1.88	17.4	19.9	-2.56

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	73	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	18.3	17.9	0.37	16.3	16.0	0.30
Theo Ratliff	16	17	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	19.4	18.0	1.42	16.9	16.1	0.76
Willie Green	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	3	7	17.1	20.4	-3.27	16.7	15.3	1.43
Marreese Speights	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	17.9	18.6	-0.68	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Andre Miller	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	4	5	17.9	20.3	-2.35	16.4	15.4	1.05
Royal Ivey	16	15	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	11	-9	19.0	18.0	0.96	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Lou Williams	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	20.3	16.9	3.34	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Samuel Dalembert	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	7	-1	17.3	20.0	-2.72	16.9	15.2	1.71
Thaddeus Young	18	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	6	1	17.1	18.5	-1.43	15.4	16.5	-1.17
Reggie Evans	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	19	-25	20.2	16.9	3.35	15.8	16.6	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
GSW 111, CHA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	93.9%
SAS 104, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%