NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	5.2 [793]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): +22.4%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.3 [396]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -7.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.05	0.05	24	61%	0.27	5	-0.16	14	79%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.03	16	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.06	9	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.05	0.06	9	105%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.00	0.06	9	85%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	10	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	-0.11	23	39%	0.02	5	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	35.8	15.8	27.2	2.5	32.2	142.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +7.7%

MIA +13.6%

MIA +17.8%

MIA +8.2%

MIA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	15.5	110.5	118.2	106.4
season	16.9	16.0		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	20.4	16.5	15.8	19.0	17.8
MIA	14.8	14.8	17.0	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	18	18	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-17	25	18.0	17.8	0.21	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Sasha Pavlovic	7	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-8	7	20.6	17.6	2.98	16.5	15.2	1.32
Tarence Kinsey	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-8	7	18.6	17.8	0.81	15.4	15.3	0.11
Daniel Gibson	44	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-10	11	18.0	17.7	0.33	15.5	15.0	0.49
Anderson Varejao	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-8	7	18.4	17.3	1.16	15.7	15.0	0.70
Mo Williams	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	18.3	16.7	1.60	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	17.3	18.4	-1.06	15.2	15.4	-0.25
LeBron James	77	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	17.6	20.0	-2.42	15.3	14.9	0.46
Delonte West	71	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	3	-15	17.4	20.0	-2.62	15.6	13.7	1.89
Ben Wallace	62	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.14	-19	10	-29	17.6	18.4	-0.75	14.9	16.3	-1.38

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	15.4	14.8	0.60	17.5	19.5	-1.97
Dwyane Wade	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	15.4	14.5	0.86	17.7	18.7	-1.02
Udonis Haslem	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-1	11	15.4	14.5	0.86	17.7	18.7	-1.02
Shawn Marion	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	5	-1	16.4	12.2	4.23	17.0	20.6	-3.62
Daequan Cook	49	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	14.6	16.2	-1.68	18.0	17.6	0.36
Joel Anthony	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	14.6	15.8	-1.26	18.8	17.0	1.80
Jamaal Magloire	14	12	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	5	-1	15.8	15.2	0.58	13.2	18.6	-5.43
Yakhouba Diawara	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	6	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.46	20.0	17.6	2.42
Marcus Banks	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	14.8	15.4	-0.60	19.5	17.5	1.97
Michael Beasley	24	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	13	-17	14.1	15.7	-1.61	20.9	16.8	4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ATL 85, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%