NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	111		Excitement	6.1 [617]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +22.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	115		Comeback	1.1 [466]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -12.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.01	32	57%	0.26	4	-0.12	12	83%	0.04
Klay Thompson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	19	58%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
David Lee	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	14	44%	-0.01	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	18	66%	0.24	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	9	57%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	10	52%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	23	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	16	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.9	14.7	25.5	2.5	33.3	130.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +11.9%

CHA +7.6%

GSW -3.8%

CHA +28.7%

CHA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	12.0	15.3	15.1	104.7	109.5	105.2
season	14.2	15.7		105.9	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	11.8	12.4	11.9	12.0
CHA	14.7	13.4	16.9	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-7	10	12.1	12.0	0.07	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Jermaine O'Neal	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-6	8	11.6	12.2	-0.64	15.6	15.2	0.38
Kent Bazemore	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	14.0	11.9	2.07	15.5	15.3	0.20
Marreese Speights	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	12.0	12.0	-0.01	13.2	15.4	-2.14
Toney Douglas	5	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	3	-10	13.4	11.9	1.46	12.2	15.5	-3.33
Stephen Curry	101	99	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-7	10	11.9	13.4	-1.46	15.5	12.2	3.33
Klay Thompson	102	101	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	11.9	14.0	-2.07	15.3	15.5	-0.20
David Lee	97	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	11.9	12.9	-0.96	15.3	15.0	0.34
Andrew Bogut	55	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	12.4	11.6	0.85	15.5	15.1	0.35
Harrison Barnes	87	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	1	-6	12.0	12.1	-0.05	15.3	15.4	-0.14

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	73	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-10	24	15.0	16.0	-0.96	12.7	10.2	2.52
Josh McRoberts	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	15.4	15.0	0.44	12.6	10.6	1.98
Al Jefferson	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	15.5	14.9	0.56	11.8	12.7	-0.94
Kemba Walker	81	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	15.5	14.6	0.94	11.8	12.8	-1.07
Ben Gordon	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-1	6	14.7	15.6	-0.93	12.1	12.0	0.17
Gerald Henderson	81	81	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	10	-16	15.8	13.8	1.96	11.6	13.2	-1.61
Ramon Sessions	48	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	15.1	15.5	-0.45	11.8	12.2	-0.32
Jeff Adrien	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	14.9	15.5	-0.56	12.7	11.8	0.94
Cody Zeller	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	7	-10	15.0	15.4	-0.44	10.6	12.6	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.93,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%
ATL 85, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NYK 95, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%