NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	1.7 [531]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +26.1%
LA Clippers	126		Comeback	1.0 [608]		LVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): -10.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.25	0.04	0.03	17	83%	0.33	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	23	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Tyler Kolek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	12	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.05	-0.01	8	84%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	19	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	20	57%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	55%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.3	33.0	13.3	29.8	2.3	41.6	147.7
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +15.1%

LAC +4.4%

NYK -2.8%

LAC +32.3%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.2	116.8	124.8	113.4
season	15.0	14.9		118.0	115.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		114.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	16.0	14.7	12.5	14.3
LAC	13.2	12.8	16.6	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	16.0	13.8	2.22	12.8	14.6	-1.78
Mohamed Diawara	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-5	2	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.7	13.3	1.44
Tyler Kolek	10	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	14.7	14.3	0.41	16.3	13.9	2.39
Jose Alvarado	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.2	0.65	14.2	14.1	0.05
Ariel Hukporti	91	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	14.4	13.9	0.47	14.3	12.3	1.98
Landry Shamet	91	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.3	12.4	1.93
Jalen Brunson	101	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.3	0.0	14.33	14.1	0.0	14.14
OG Anunoby	101	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.3	0.0	14.33	14.1	0.0	14.14
Mikal Bridges	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	11	-30	14.8	13.5	1.29	14.4	13.6	0.82
Karl-Anthony Towns	90	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.16	-14	6	-20	14.1	16.4	-2.29	13.8	16.9	-3.11
Josh Hart	92	92	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	14.3	14.8	-0.50	13.8	17.7	-3.87

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	89	89	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-10	28	13.8	17.0	-3.25	14.3	14.7	-0.48
Brook Lopez	84	83	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-13	34	14.4	12.8	1.58	14.5	13.4	1.14
Kawhi Leonard	84	84	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.10	19	-11	30	13.9	15.2	-1.32	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Kris Dunn	94	95	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-8	24	13.9	17.0	-3.07	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Darius Garland	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-11	30	14.1	14.4	-0.38	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Isaiah Jackson	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.10	16	-8	24	14.6	12.8	1.79	14.5	13.8	0.65
Jordan Miller	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.4	6.0	8.41
Bennedict Mathurin	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.3	0.0	14.33
Nicolas Batum	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	8	-8	14.8	13.3	1.45	14.4	14.2	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 84, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 85, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	94.7%
POR 103, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%