NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	84		Excitement	4.8 [862]		MVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): +9.5%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.3 [1162]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -21.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.04	15	87%	0.24	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.07	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.05	0.06	15	56%	0.01	8	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	18	65%	0.14	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	15	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	13	71%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.8	15.3	21.6	2.0	28.0	122.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +18.9%

PHX -6.7%

SAS +6.6%

SAS +28.6%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.9	88.4	101.0	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		100.9	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		97.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	16.3	14.8	15.1	15.0
SAS	13.6	15.7	15.2	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	11.5	15.1	-3.58	19.3	14.9	4.47
Alex Len	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-12	10	15.1	15.0	0.17	11.7	15.6	-3.86
Archie Goodwin	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-15	16	15.9	14.9	0.98	15.8	14.9	0.89
Ronnie Price	41	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-20	26	13.9	15.8	-1.93	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Markieff Morris	68	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-9	4	14.8	15.4	-0.57	14.7	15.7	-0.95
Devin Booker	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.1	14.9	0.13	17.0	13.2	3.80
Mirza Teletovic	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-10	6	15.0	15.0	0.04	15.6	14.5	1.08
Jon Leuer	22	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-8	2	15.5	14.8	0.65	16.1	14.7	1.42
Tyson Chandler	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.1	14.9	0.17	15.1	14.9	0.17
Brandon Knight	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	15.2	14.3	0.89	15.4	13.9	1.48
PJ Tucker	59	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	2	-18	15.4	14.4	1.03	14.5	15.7	-1.18
TJ Warren	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-1	-12	14.9	15.1	-0.13	13.4	17.1	-3.72

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	66	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-6	26	14.5	16.1	-1.66	15.3	14.3	1.01
Tony Parker	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-8	30	16.1	13.1	2.96	15.5	14.2	1.30
David West	40	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-1	16	16.8	13.8	3.02	15.5	14.6	0.90
Patty Mills	60	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	14.5	15.8	-1.22	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Kawhi Leonard	75	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	7	0	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.8	15.6	-0.73
Manu Ginobili	42	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	12	-10	12.6	16.8	-4.20	15.1	14.9	0.26
Danny Green	65	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	5	4	16.3	12.3	4.01	15.2	14.7	0.50
Kyle Anderson	15	15	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	12	-10	14.9	15.0	-0.16	15.4	14.9	0.47
Jonathon Simmons	13	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	15	-16	14.8	15.0	-0.18	15.4	14.9	0.48
Rasual Butler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	19.3	14.9	4.47	11.5	15.1	-3.58
Ray McCallum	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	19.3	14.9	4.47	11.5	15.1	-3.58
Boris Diaw	30	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	21	-28	14.3	15.3	-1.01	13.6	15.6	-1.97
Boban Marjanovic	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	15	-16	12.2	15.4	-3.14	13.5	15.2	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 87, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%