NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	7.2 [355]		MVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): +23.0%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.0 [525]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -19.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chet Holmgren	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	19	74%	0.28	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	16	67%	0.18	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Kenrich Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Luguentz Dort	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	5	29%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Alex Caruso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Cason Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.01	8	85%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	17	47%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	18	38%	-0.13	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.0	27.6	0.0	36.3	0.0	38.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +47.5%

OKC +17.4%

NYK -12.3%

NYK -3.3%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	14.2	103.0	101.0	113.4
season	13.8	14.8		116.3	117.8
opponent	14.1	14.6		111.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	16.0	13.0	14.6	14.0
NYK	13.7	15.3	14.2	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	74	74	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.29	20	-17	37	14.2	13.4	0.82	15.8	12.3	3.48
Isaiah Joe	78	78	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.34	18	-15	33	14.0	14.0	-0.07	15.6	12.5	3.04
Chet Holmgren	92	90	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	14.1	13.1	0.94	15.2	11.7	3.58
Cason Wallace	93	91	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-2	7	14.1	12.3	1.83	15.3	11.1	4.13
Kenrich Williams	23	23	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	14.6	13.8	0.75	16.7	14.4	2.37
Aaron Wiggins	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	14.3	13.5	0.78	15.7	13.6	2.13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.0	0.0	13.99	14.9	0.0	14.92
Isaiah Hartenstein	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-7	17	14.1	13.9	0.22	15.2	14.6	0.61
Alex Caruso	67	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-2	7	14.0	13.9	0.12	14.3	16.3	-2.04
Jaylin Williams	65	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	3	-3	13.8	14.4	-0.67	14.5	15.7	-1.12
Jared McCain	76	75	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	7	-11	14.0	14.0	0.04	14.5	16.2	-1.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Sochan	23	22	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.02	8	-11	19	14.3	15.1	-0.74	14.0	14.0	0.01
Ariel Hukporti	50	49	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-9	15	14.0	15.9	-1.86	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Mohamed Diawara	56	54	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-3	3	14.7	15.2	-0.47	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Jose Alvarado	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	8	-19	16.6	13.9	2.68	15.2	13.3	1.86
Landry Shamet	90	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.1	12.9	2.23	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Jalen Brunson	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.9	0.0	14.92	14.0	0.0	13.99
OG Anunoby	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.9	0.0	14.92	14.0	0.0	13.99
Mikal Bridges	86	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	5	-13	15.4	11.9	3.45	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	71	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.23	-20	17	-37	15.6	13.1	2.53	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Josh Hart	68	68	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.43	-20	17	-37	15.8	12.9	2.94	14.3	13.3	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
CHI 116, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.4%
PHI 125, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	91.8%