NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	125		Excitement	7.3 [388]		MVP	James Harden (PHI): +32.0%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.9 [807]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -19.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.16	0.01	14	76%	0.39	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.08
Joel Embiid	0.24	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	18	59%	0.29	2	-0.05	27	85%	0.10
Tyrese Maxey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	14	68%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.02	0.05	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.15	-0.03	13	62%	0.33	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.06
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	16	69%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	0%	-0.04
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	22	44%	0.05	4	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	13	42%	-0.14	3	-0.06	12	58%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.6	2.7	27.3	15.8	34.2	3.4	32.3	149.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.0%

PHI +37.4%

NYK -17.6%

PHI +23.6%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	13.9	14.5	117.9	105.8	110.8
season	15.2	15.1		112.4	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.2	13.6	13.5	15.9	13.7
NYK	12.2	14.6	13.7	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	82	78	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.05	24	-8	32	13.1	15.7	-2.66	14.4	12.3	2.05
Tobias Harris	79	77	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.01	25	-9	34	13.1	15.4	-2.36	13.7	14.4	-0.73
Joel Embiid	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-2	20	13.3	14.7	-1.41	14.5	12.1	2.40
James Harden	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-3	22	13.5	14.6	-1.15	13.8	14.4	-0.64
Matisse Thybulle	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	3	10	13.7	13.7	-0.04	13.9	13.8	0.15
Shake Milton	14	13	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	11	-6	13.7	13.7	0.03	14.9	13.7	1.20
Paul Millsap	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	19	-22	15.6	13.1	2.55	12.5	14.3	-1.84
Georges Niang	39	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	23	-30	14.3	13.3	1.02	14.0	13.8	0.15
Furkan Korkmaz	30	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	22	-28	14.4	13.4	1.04	13.3	14.1	-0.74
Danny Green	31	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	24	-32	15.2	13.1	2.17	12.8	14.3	-1.53

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	43	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-16	16	12.4	14.9	-2.58	13.9	13.6	0.32
Evan Fournier	77	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-9	2	13.7	14.5	-0.79	14.1	12.6	1.42
Cam Reddish	35	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-12	8	14.4	13.6	0.84	13.1	14.0	-0.93
Obi Toppin	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-14	12	14.1	13.7	0.36	14.0	13.5	0.51
Immanuel Quickley	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	14.2	13.6	0.62	15.2	12.1	3.13
Mitchell Robinson	35	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-5	-6	14.3	13.6	0.71	12.4	14.4	-1.98
Julius Randle	80	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-5	-6	14.3	12.3	2.02	13.4	14.6	-1.17
RJ Barrett	83	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	4	-24	13.4	15.7	-2.27	13.5	14.4	-0.94
Alec Burks	73	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.04	-19	3	-22	14.2	13.2	0.95	13.4	14.5	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.07,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.11,0.21,0.04,0,0	93.0%
GSW 108, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.01,0,0	92.8%
MIL 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	92.7%