NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	7.3 [379]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +32.3%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	3.1 [211]		LVP	Ben Wallace (CHI): -17.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.17	-0.00	16	85%	0.50	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	20	60%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	17	56%	0.11	7	-0.19	14	86%	0.02
Viktor Khryapa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.14	1	-0.03	12	25%	-0.12

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	16	63%	0.27	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	6	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	21	52%	0.18	8	-0.24	8	100%	0.05
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	9	52%	-0.02	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.5	33.3	18.7	33.4	2.6	40.2	160.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.2%

PHX -22.1%

CHI +23.2%

PHX -0.4%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.4	15.4	110.5	95.4	104.5
season	14.5	13.8		103.1	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.9		105.0	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	15.8	13.1	12.1	13.6
PHX	12.1	14.2	11.7	16.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	90	93	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-6	25	13.5	14.4	-0.90	13.3	14.3	-1.06
Luol Deng	103	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	13.7	12.0	1.66	13.4	13.7	-0.26
Chris Duhon	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	4	5	13.7	13.6	0.07	14.3	12.0	2.28
Kirk Hinrich	96	97	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	4	5	13.3	17.4	-4.17	13.4	13.4	0.06
Tyrus Thomas	32	34	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	3	7	15.0	13.0	1.93	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Ben Wallace	82	83	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	5	3	13.4	14.6	-1.20	13.8	12.3	1.48
Thabo Sefolosha	2	3	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	9	-5	14.5	13.6	0.89	11.0	13.5	-2.49
Viktor Khryapa	30	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	13.7	13.6	0.15	12.6	13.7	-1.13
Michael Sweetney	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	15	-17	11.6	13.8	-2.20	11.0	13.6	-2.58
Malik Allen	19	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	20	-27	15.2	13.3	1.87	12.4	13.6	-1.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	61	60	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.02	7	-20	27	13.7	13.1	0.55	12.7	14.9	-2.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	86	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	13.6	12.6	0.98	13.8	12.9	0.83
Jalen Rose	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-12	11	17.6	12.9	4.69	15.2	13.4	1.74
Raja Bell	93	91	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-4	-5	13.2	15.0	-1.84	13.4	14.9	-1.42
Leandro Barbosa	86	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-2	-9	13.0	15.0	-1.93	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Pat Burke	31	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	4	-21	13.0	13.6	-0.54	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Shawn Marion	98	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	0	-13	13.1	16.3	-3.18	13.2	17.4	-4.17
Marcus Banks	73	71	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.27	-23	10	-33	13.6	12.9	0.70	14.9	10.9	4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	92.1%
DAL 114, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.18,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.1,0	91.7%
OKC 102, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.11,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	91.6%