NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	6.4 [495]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	2.9 [402]		LVP	Paul Davis (LAC): -14.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.12	0.00	18	64%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Devin Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	0.05	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	21	44%	-0.02	5	-0.11	8	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.11	0.04	19	60%	0.21	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	68%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	17	56%	0.06	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.0	34.3	16.0	28.2	2.5	34.5	142.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.2%

LAC -12.3%

CLE +19.5%

CLE +10.4%

LAC -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.4	107.3	100.0	105.7
season	16.4	15.6		104.0	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	14.8	16.5	13.9	14.9
LAC	13.9	16.5	14.1	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	15.1	13.9	1.13	15.5	14.6	0.83
LeBron James	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-2	12	14.7	15.2	-0.51	15.4	14.8	0.62
Devin Brown	63	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	14.6	15.4	-0.76	15.7	14.5	1.24
Damon Jones	46	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	5	-2	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.7	14.9	0.82
Ira Newble	31	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	8	-8	14.5	15.0	-0.56	16.1	14.9	1.24
Daniel Gibson	42	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	2	4	15.4	14.5	0.92	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Drew Gooden	61	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	1	6	15.3	14.2	1.09	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Sasha Pavlovic	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	5	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.70	15.6	15.3	0.33
Dwayne Jones	2	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	9	-10	12.0	14.9	-2.93	13.7	15.3	-1.68
Larry Hughes	55	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	15.1	14.5	0.66	14.3	16.7	-2.37
Cedric Simmons	18	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	15	-22	14.2	15.0	-0.79	15.7	15.2	0.53

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-11	14	13.5	15.8	-2.33	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Dan Dickau	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	0.0	15.3	-15.29	19.0	14.8	4.18
Paul Davis	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.3	15.1	-0.71
Brevin Knight	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	16.2	15.0	1.24	15.6	14.6	1.03
Ruben Patterson	27	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	0	-8	16.6	14.8	1.86	15.1	14.7	0.39
Corey Maggette	86	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-10	12	15.2	15.9	-0.66	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Tim Thomas	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-5	2	15.5	14.5	1.05	15.4	13.1	2.24
Chris Kaman	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	15.3	15.2	0.07	14.9	14.7	0.19
Quinton Ross	66	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.0	16.0	-1.06	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Sam Cassell	76	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	7	-22	15.1	15.9	-0.75	14.8	15.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 116, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.1%
HOU 93, SAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	91.6%
MEM 107, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.2,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	91.4%