NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	133		Excitement	3.1 [729]		MVP	Will Richard (GSW): +9.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	1.1 [612]		LVP	Walter Clayton Jr. (MEM): -8.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Richard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	15	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Quinten Post	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	9	57%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	7	82%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malevy Leons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Gui Santos	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	0.00	0.11	7	94%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Gary Payton II	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	79%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Pat Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	12	80%	0.13	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Javon Small	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	8	94%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	56%	0.05	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	14	73%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.1	29.8	15.3	26.2	0.0	28.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.6%

MEM -0.3%

GSW +15.5%

MEM -2.1%

GSW +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	13.4	14.2	134.3	112.0	113.3
season	14.6	13.7		113.2	112.2
opponent	14.3	13.7		114.5	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	15.2	17.2	15.2	15.5
MEM	14.0	14.2	14.1	11.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Spencer	94	95	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.27	29	-8	37	15.8	9.8	6.03	13.5	11.4	2.11
Brandin Podziemski	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.64	41	-20	61	16.3	12.4	3.84	14.1	10.0	4.15
Gui Santos	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.48	35	-14	49	16.3	12.4	3.84	13.9	11.1	2.83
Moses Moody	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.33	30	-9	39	16.7	12.5	4.22	14.0	11.7	2.32
Quinten Post	86	88	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.24	27	-6	33	16.0	12.5	3.44	13.6	11.8	1.78
Malevy Leons	87	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.16	23	-2	25	16.0	12.2	3.82	13.5	12.9	0.55
Gary Payton II	97	98	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	-6	33	15.7	7.5	8.19	13.5	9.0	4.49
Al Horford	82	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	-9	39	16.0	13.4	2.62	14.0	10.5	3.53
Will Richard	99	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	0	21	15.5	0.0	15.53	13.4	0.0	13.40

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-3	-15	13.9	12.4	1.49	16.7	13.4	3.24
Cam Spencer	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.39	-25	4	-29	13.8	12.3	1.53	16.2	13.8	2.43
Jaylen Wells	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	-6	-9	13.3	13.7	-0.40	16.1	13.4	2.66
Ty Jerome	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.38	-27	6	-33	13.7	12.9	0.82	16.7	13.8	2.90
Javon Small	96	95	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	2	-25	13.4	12.7	0.68	15.5	15.0	0.55
GG Jackson	100	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	0	-21	13.4	0.0	13.40	15.5	0.0	15.53
Walter Clayton Jr.	95	95	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.26	-26	5	-31	13.6	9.4	4.21	15.3	19.7	-4.40
Scotty Pippen Jr.	80	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.28	-28	7	-35	14.0	11.1	2.81	16.0	13.7	2.30
Taylor Hendricks	92	90	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.19	-25	4	-29	13.5	12.6	0.84	15.8	12.3	3.51
Rayan Rupert	90	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.27	-28	7	-35	13.7	10.7	3.00	15.9	12.9	2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 116, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DET 107, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
IND 99, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%