NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	2.9 [1049]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +16.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.1 [990]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -9.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.23	0.00	0.07	22	84%	0.24	7	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	7	93%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	74%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	112%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	41%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	-0.07	12	21%	-0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.4	15.0	24.2	2.3	25.5	122.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.1%

ATL +4.2%

ATL +14.1%

MIN -0.8%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.4	114.9	98.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.1		112.8	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.9	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	13.2	15.1	17.1	14.7
MIN	15.8	14.0	14.3	11.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-1	20	13.9	15.5	-1.57	14.3	13.6	0.70
Clint Capela	63	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	4	10	14.0	15.8	-1.74	14.4	13.1	1.24
Rajon Rondo	41	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	11	-4	14.4	14.9	-0.57	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Danilo Gallinari	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	7	4	13.5	15.2	-1.71	15.1	13.4	1.66
Solomon Hill	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.26	19	-1	20	13.3	15.5	-2.22	14.6	13.6	1.07
Trae Young	63	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.16	14	4	10	15.1	14.1	0.96	14.3	13.4	0.95
Kevin Huerter	71	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	20	-22	15.4	13.0	2.38	14.0	13.9	0.11
John Collins	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	9	0	15.4	13.8	1.59	14.1	13.7	0.44
De'Andre Hunter	55	55	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.18	11	7	4	15.5	13.8	1.73	14.1	13.7	0.43
Bruno Fernando	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	15.7	14.6	1.09	9.3	14.2	-4.91
Tony Snell	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	15.7	14.6	1.09	9.3	14.2	-4.91
Onyeka Okongwu	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.4	14.6	0.77	9.8	14.4	-4.61
Brandon Goodwin	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.4	14.6	0.77	9.8	14.4	-4.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-23	28	12.5	14.4	-1.91	16.3	14.1	2.21
Jordan McLaughlin	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-24	30	11.8	14.7	-2.84	16.6	14.0	2.58
Jaylen Nowell	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-20	22	11.6	14.7	-3.08	15.3	14.5	0.81
Josh Okogie	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-19	20	13.6	14.2	-0.58	14.8	14.6	0.22
Ricky Rubio	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.29	-13	-5	-8	14.7	13.6	1.12	14.3	14.9	-0.53
Naz Reid	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-17	16	13.8	14.1	-0.34	15.9	13.4	2.44
Jarred Vanderbilt	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-8	-2	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.9	14.4	0.47
Ed Davis	14	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-9	0	16.0	13.6	2.38	9.9	15.4	-5.49
Malik Beasley	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-6	-6	14.2	13.7	0.42	14.9	14.5	0.43
Jarrett Culver	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-3	-12	15.0	13.3	1.68	14.0	15.1	-1.13
D'Angelo Russell	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	14.7	13.4	1.27	13.8	15.4	-1.55
Anthony Edwards	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-5	-8	14.1	13.8	0.22	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Jaden McDaniels	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	2	-22	14.5	13.4	1.10	13.9	15.4	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 131, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%