NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	3.0 [955]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +9.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.1 [894]		LVP	Omri Casspi (CLE): -7.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	14	54%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	16	51%	0.02	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.11	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.1	15.4	24.4	2.3	27.3	125.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.5%

PHI +9.7%

CLE -4.0%

PHI +13.1%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	108.8	91.3	102.8
season	15.6	15.5		101.0	99.5
opponent	15.6	16.1		107.1	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	14.0	15.6	18.1	16.0
CLE	15.4	16.0	14.4	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	64	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-6	27	15.6	17.0	-1.34	16.8	12.1	4.66
Thaddeus Young	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	1	13	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.6	15.2	0.43
Nikola Vucevic	45	46	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.01	14	1	13	15.5	16.5	-0.97	15.5	15.4	0.09
Louis Williams	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	8	-1	16.5	15.2	1.34	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Andre Iguodala	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	15.1	17.1	-1.99	15.9	14.9	1.02
Elton Brand	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	7	1	15.9	16.2	-0.27	15.6	15.3	0.25
Evan Turner	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	17.1	15.1	1.99	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Jodie Meeks	63	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	13	-11	16.0	16.1	-0.12	14.4	17.9	-3.55
Lavoy Allen	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	21	-27	16.3	15.9	0.41	15.9	15.3	0.58

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.5	15.6	-1.07	17.9	15.8	2.11
Ben Uzoh	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.5	15.6	-1.07	17.9	15.8	2.11
Ryan Hollins	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.5	15.6	-1.07	17.9	15.8	2.11
Semih Erden	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-12	9	16.8	14.9	1.88	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Omri Casspi	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-14	13	14.9	16.5	-1.60	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Antawn Jamison	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-8	1	14.8	16.9	-2.14	15.3	17.5	-2.14
Ramon Sessions	65	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	14.9	16.9	-1.97	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Samardo Samuels	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-4	-7	15.9	15.1	0.85	16.5	15.7	0.86
Alonzo Gee	45	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-2	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.59	16.3	15.7	0.62
Christian Eyenga	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-5	-5	16.6	14.9	1.70	17.0	15.5	1.56
Tristan Thompson	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	4	-23	16.1	15.0	1.08	15.9	16.1	-0.27
Daniel Gibson	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	3	-21	16.1	13.8	2.35	15.8	16.7	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NJN 92, DEN 66	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
UTA 115, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%