NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	2.7 [1231]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +13.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.1 [886]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -3.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	12	75%	0.16	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	11	80%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	13	70%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	91%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	7	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.02	4	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	29.3	15.8	29.3	1.6	26.3	127.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.9%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +2.3%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	17.8	14.4	15.4	122.5	92.2	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		107.4	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.0		105.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	16.4	17.1	18.5	17.8
MIN	15.1	16.3	12.4	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	7	12	16.2	20.6	-4.39	14.8	13.8	1.02
Gordan Giricek	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	4	18	18.8	16.2	2.57	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Matt Harpring	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.30	22	4	18	18.6	16.7	1.89	14.8	13.9	0.87
Jarron Collins	37	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	15	-4	17.5	17.9	-0.36	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Paul Millsap	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.23	19	7	12	17.0	18.4	-1.47	14.6	14.3	0.37
Mehmet Okur	47	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	19	-12	18.4	17.0	1.47	14.3	14.6	-0.37
Carlos Boozer	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.34	17	9	8	17.9	17.6	0.24	15.2	13.7	1.54
Derek Fisher	56	57	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.28	15	11	4	18.3	16.8	1.44	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Andrei Kirilenko	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	22	-18	16.7	18.6	-1.89	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Rafael Araujo	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	18.2	17.7	0.44	14.6	14.4	0.16
CJ Miles	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	18.0	17.7	0.26	14.6	14.4	0.16
Dee Brown	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	18.2	17.7	0.44	14.6	14.4	0.16

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-28	30	14.6	14.4	0.16	18.2	17.7	0.44
Bracey Wright	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-28	30	13.3	14.5	-1.15	18.0	17.7	0.26
Rashad McCants	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-28	30	14.6	14.4	0.16	18.2	17.7	0.44
Troy Hudson	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	-17	8	13.2	15.2	-2.04	19.4	16.9	2.51
Trenton Hassell	55	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-18	10	14.8	13.9	0.91	18.5	16.6	1.87
Ricky Davis	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-13	0	14.3	14.8	-0.49	17.9	17.1	0.86
Craig Smith	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-7	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.24	17.5	17.9	-0.33
Randy Foye	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-12	-2	14.7	14.2	0.42	15.8	19.5	-3.63
Mike James	23	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-11	-4	16.7	13.7	3.02	16.7	18.2	-1.49
Kevin Garnett	70	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-8	-10	14.8	13.3	1.41	18.3	16.0	2.29
Marko Jaric	37	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.32	-23	-3	-20	13.7	15.0	-1.31	17.8	17.7	0.04
Mark Blount	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-9	-8	14.2	15.4	-1.17	17.3	19.6	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
IND 115, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 98, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%