NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	3.3 [1113]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +10.9%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.4 [971]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -4.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.00	11	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	8	50%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	87%	0.10	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	78%	0.08	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	15	53%	0.06	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	53%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	12	52%	-0.03	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	24.8	17.0	31.2	2.7	31.2	133.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.8%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +8.8%

DET -2.1%

DET -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.3	126.4	114.3	106.0
season	15.3	16.8		109.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	15.0	13.8	17.0	15.2
DET	16.6	17.8	15.6	15.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-5	21	15.8	14.4	1.37	17.0	15.4	1.64
Kyle Korver	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-8	27	16.0	14.6	1.42	16.7	16.1	0.66
Mehmet Okur	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-8	27	14.9	16.1	-1.19	17.2	14.1	3.10
CJ Miles	35	35	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-5	21	16.1	14.7	1.42	18.7	15.0	3.66
Ronnie Price	15	16	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	0	11	16.3	15.0	1.23	17.8	16.1	1.71
Deron Williams	75	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	14.9	16.7	-1.75	16.3	16.8	-0.44
Andrei Kirilenko	56	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	16	-21	14.7	16.1	-1.42	15.0	18.7	-3.66
Sundiata Gaines	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	23.0	15.2	7.84	0.0	16.6	-16.59
Kyrylo Fesenko	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	23.0	15.2	7.84	0.0	16.6	-16.59
Carlos Boozer	56	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	20	-29	14.9	15.7	-0.77	15.1	18.5	-3.39
Wesley Matthews	47	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	19	-27	14.6	16.0	-1.42	16.1	16.7	-0.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	58	58	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.47	16	-27	43	14.7	19.3	-4.59	15.5	14.8	0.71
DaJuan Summers	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-19	27	8.6	17.1	-8.49	20.7	14.7	6.04
Richard Hamilton	63	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-11	11	16.7	15.7	1.00	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Chucky Atkins	9	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-10	9	12.8	16.8	-4.03	17.9	14.9	2.99
Austin Daye	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-10	9	13.7	17.3	-3.63	16.7	14.8	1.96
Jason Maxiell	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-1	-9	16.9	15.7	1.13	15.6	14.7	0.86
Kwame Brown	11	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-6	1	14.9	16.6	-1.70	18.2	14.8	3.40
Tayshaun Prince	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	17.0	14.4	2.63	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Will Bynum	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	4	-19	17.0	14.8	2.16	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Ben Gordon	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	5	-21	18.2	14.9	3.31	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	51	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	12	-35	17.6	14.8	2.78	13.8	17.0	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
UTA 100, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 120, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%