NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	120		Excitement	4.2 [1023]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +31.0%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	1.3 [302]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -15.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.26	0.03	-0.02	14	86%	0.31	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.00	0.01	11	86%	0.20	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	11	83%	0.11	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.28	-0.00	-0.13	21	30%	-0.04	8	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.08	10	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	17	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.05	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.6	36.1	19.5	25.5	3.6	36.0	152.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.9%

NYK +7.4%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +13.6%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.5	120.0	114.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		108.6	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	13.3	18.6	15.7	15.2
CHI	13.4	14.3	16.4	12.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-7	22	15.1	15.3	-0.17	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Toney Douglas	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-7	22	15.0	15.4	-0.42	14.3	13.2	1.09
Henry Walker	31	33	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-12	32	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.2	13.7	0.53
Wilson Chandler	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-2	12	14.0	16.4	-2.39	14.4	13.4	0.97
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	76	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	7	-6	15.7	13.5	2.11	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Danilo Gallinari	77	73	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.39	-7	15	-22	15.4	14.4	0.98	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Raymond Felton	74	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	16	-24	15.5	14.4	1.04	13.6	14.7	-1.18
Anthony Randolph	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	2	4	11.7	15.4	-3.75	19.8	13.5	6.33
Landry Fields	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	16	-24	16.7	14.0	2.66	13.4	14.3	-0.89
Timofey Mozgov	23	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	14.8	15.3	-0.47	14.6	13.7	0.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	49	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-16	24	14.5	13.3	1.20	16.4	14.0	2.41
Ronnie Brewer	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-14	20	12.5	14.4	-1.89	15.4	15.1	0.35
Taj Gibson	68	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-19	30	13.7	14.4	-0.74	15.8	13.7	2.10
CJ Watson	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-10	12	13.1	14.2	-1.09	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Joakim Noah	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-6	4	14.1	13.5	0.56	15.3	15.0	0.28
Brian Scalabrine	15	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	4	-16	16.5	13.4	3.12	12.7	15.7	-2.90
Kyle Korver	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	13.0	14.6	-1.69	14.8	15.5	-0.67
James Johnson	18	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.24	-19	11	-30	14.7	13.7	0.95	12.5	15.8	-3.28
Luol Deng	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	2	-12	14.2	13.2	1.04	15.3	14.9	0.37
Derrick Rose	70	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	2	-12	14.2	13.1	1.09	15.2	15.2	0.02
Omer Asik	39	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	2	-12	13.3	14.3	-1.01	14.6	15.5	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, GSW 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
PHX 112, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIL 110, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%