NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	107		Excitement	3.5 [1067]		MVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.7 [399]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -11.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	14	77%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	89%	0.09	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Keith Askins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Danilovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ed Pinckney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	20	48%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Gary Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	12	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	25	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	20	33%	-0.07	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	25.0	15.8	26.3	1.7	25.2	120.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +49.5%

GSW -0.2%

MIA +1.2%

GSW -2.3%

MIA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	GSW	NBA	MIA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	118.9	96.7	104.4
season	15.8	15.0		103.1	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.3		109.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.7	14.9	16.5	18.7	16.2
GSW	17.2	16.4	13.5	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	69	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.04	18	1	17	16.2	16.0	0.18	15.9	14.7	1.21
Dan Majerle	73	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	6	7	16.0	17.1	-1.15	15.8	14.9	0.93
Ike Austin	37	36	0.38	0.13	0.25	-0.03	14	5	9	16.2	16.2	0.05	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Sasha Danilovic	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	2	15	16.2	16.2	-0.04	15.5	15.9	-0.39
P.J. Brown	61	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	4	11	16.1	16.4	-0.33	16.1	14.5	1.64
Alonzo Mourning	73	74	0.27	0.24	0.03	0.01	9	10	-1	16.3	15.7	0.60	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Keith Askins	33	34	0.26	0.25	0.01	-0.09	12	7	5	16.9	15.8	1.19	15.9	15.5	0.44
Gary Grant	22	19	0.06	0.45	-0.38	-0.03	3	16	-13	16.1	16.2	-0.07	13.9	16.1	-2.14
Ed Pinckney	8	7	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.6	16.2	-0.62	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Mark Strickland	6	6	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.5	16.2	-0.74	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Voshon Lenard	6	6	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.5	16.2	-0.74	14.5	15.7	-1.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Owes	6	6	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.5	15.7	-1.22	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Donyell Marshall	6	6	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.5	15.7	-1.22	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Mark Price	52	51	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-25	31	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.1	17.7	-2.61
Lou Roe	12	12	-0.07	-0.44	0.36	-0.04	-1	-18	17	17.3	15.4	1.95	13.2	16.6	-3.39
Todd Fuller	18	18	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	-0.00	-7	-12	5	17.3	15.2	2.04	13.3	16.9	-3.64
Felton Spencer	62	60	-0.24	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-15	11	15.2	16.5	-1.24	16.1	16.3	-0.12
Chris Mullin	76	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-10	1	15.6	15.7	-0.11	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Joe Smith	70	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-9	-1	15.7	15.5	0.21	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Donald Royal	9	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-7	-5	16.6	15.5	1.02	17.8	16.0	1.81
Andrew DeClercq	26	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	0	-19	15.6	15.7	-0.08	18.5	15.2	3.33
Latrell Sprewell	79	78	-0.44	-0.07	-0.36	0.09	-18	-1	-17	15.4	17.3	-1.95	16.6	13.2	3.39
B.J. Armstrong	39	39	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.28	-25	6	-31	16.3	15.2	1.08	17.7	15.1	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
SAS 129, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 103, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%