NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	2.8 [1205]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +11.3%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	1.3 [983]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -12.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.03	12	65%	0.11	0	0.00	10	90%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	-0.00	-0.05	11	70%	0.14	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	24	56%	0.11	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	-0.09	13	32%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	14	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.02
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	60%	0.00	3	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	54%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	9	65%	0.09	10	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.09	7	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	14	20%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	23.9	14.7	30.4	2.4	27.6	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.3%

GSW -3.7%

UTA +12.0%

UTA +6.8%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	12.3	15.3	98.0	89.0	106.0
season	15.3	13.4		109.5	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		110.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	15.2	14.1	20.7	16.2
GSW	11.4	14.1	13.0	10.7	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	90	90	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-5	21	16.3	15.2	1.05	12.9	6.8	6.11
Andrei Kirilenko	72	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-3	17	16.5	15.3	1.19	12.7	11.4	1.33
Kyle Korver	44	42	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-3	17	17.5	15.2	2.33	12.6	12.1	0.51
Ronnie Price	34	32	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-5	21	14.9	16.8	-1.94	12.1	12.4	-0.35
Deron Williams	83	82	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	10	-9	16.1	16.3	-0.17	12.2	12.7	-0.45
CJ Miles	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	16	-21	17.4	14.8	2.62	11.7	13.0	-1.36
Paul Millsap	72	71	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	15.8	17.2	-1.40	12.1	12.8	-0.65
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	15.5	16.2	-0.73	8.3	12.6	-4.32
Wesley Matthews	54	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	12	-13	14.7	17.8	-3.13	12.2	12.4	-0.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.48	16	-27	43	10.0	13.5	-3.49	18.9	14.7	4.17
Devean George	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-24	37	11.5	12.8	-1.33	17.2	15.6	1.62
Andris Biedrins	49	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-4	-3	12.2	12.4	-0.19	15.4	16.9	-1.48
Corey Maggette	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-3	-5	12.1	12.5	-0.39	14.2	17.8	-3.60
Anthony Morrow	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.31	-20	9	-29	13.6	10.5	3.07	15.2	17.6	-2.41
Stephen Curry	82	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-11	11	11.5	16.1	-4.65	16.4	15.2	1.17
Anthony Tolliver	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-8	5	12.2	12.3	-0.11	19.1	14.1	5.00
Ronny Turiaf	24	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	4	-19	14.5	11.6	2.84	13.6	17.0	-3.41
Monta Ellis	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	10	-31	13.7	10.2	3.48	15.1	17.7	-2.59
CJ Watson	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	-1	-9	12.1	12.7	-0.64	16.8	14.8	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 111, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
UTA 115, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
WAS 105, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%