inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 105 Excitement2.5 [1238] MVPBojan Bogdanovic (WAS): +14.8%
Toronto Raptors 96 Comeback1.2 [515] LVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): -6.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.250.010.1112100%0.192-0.053100%0.01
Jason Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.014100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.02875%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Bradley Beal0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.110.000.091761%0.031-0.004100%0.00
John Wall0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.05-0.00-0.071243%0.032-0.014100%0.01
Markieff Morris0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.001446%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.100.02-0.10839%0.054-0.042100%0.01
Chris McCullough0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sheldon McClellan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Ochefu0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05217%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05312%-0.011-0.01250%-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0440%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.011150%0.0100.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00367%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.041761%0.044-0.052100%0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.04275%-0.011-0.014100%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.000.091253%-0.0400.00875%-0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.0660%-0.0400.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.012047%-0.012-0.041191%0.02
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.03350%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.021228%-0.051-0.011100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.831.115.425.92.028.0126.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +48.4%
WAS +4.6%
TOR -7.8%
WAS +4.2%
WAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game15.314.414.8108.299.0107.7
season14.415.2109.9110.0
opponent14.914.9106.9108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.914.014.917.315.3
TOR15.716.613.412.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tomas Satoransky37360.460.040.410.0713-41715.615.10.5514.414.30.10
Kelly Oubre Jr.51510.390.110.280.0412-31515.115.5-0.4013.315.6-2.38
Bojan Bogdanovic50490.390.110.28-0.0816-72316.114.41.7114.114.7-0.56
Jason Smith17180.340.160.19-0.1316-72314.415.5-1.0916.413.92.46
Ian Mahinmi44430.320.180.14-0.0011-21315.715.00.6414.114.6-0.43
Markieff Morris65640.200.30-0.100.2009-916.014.02.0015.212.82.42
John Wall70700.130.37-0.250.0727-515.115.8-0.6514.214.9-0.75
Marcin Gortat35360.120.38-0.260.0627-514.715.7-1.0215.913.52.40
Otto Porter Jr.38380.100.40-0.300.13-110-1115.015.5-0.5115.713.52.23
Bradley Beal68700.060.44-0.390.35-1019-2915.115.9-0.8414.015.3-1.27
Chris McCullough550.000.50-0.500.23-817-2513.015.4-2.436.814.8-7.99
Sheldon McClellan550.000.50-0.500.23-817-2513.015.4-2.436.814.8-7.99
Daniel Ochefu550.000.50-0.500.23-817-2513.015.4-2.436.814.8-7.99

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam550.00-0.500.50-0.238-17256.814.8-7.9913.015.4-2.43
Cory Joseph5756-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-111314.414.30.0514.816.0-1.20
DeMar DeRozan6766-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-5114.613.80.8415.215.5-0.21
Serge Ibaka7271-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-131714.513.90.6215.714.31.37
Jakob Poeltl1616-0.20-0.300.11-0.14-2-7512.914.7-1.7313.615.7-2.09
DeMarre Carroll5657-0.20-0.300.09-0.15-2-7515.313.12.2716.114.21.80
Delon Wright4142-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-9913.115.3-2.2216.114.71.47
Fred VanVleet1010-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-3-314.814.30.4713.615.5-1.91
Patrick Patterson4343-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-112-1313.714.9-1.2715.215.4-0.22
PJ Tucker4546-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-134-1713.914.8-0.9614.815.7-0.88
Jonas Valanciunas4040-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-156-2116.712.74.0314.815.7-0.91
Norman Powell3333-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.22-6-3-313.914.6-0.7216.314.81.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 100, GSW 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,095.9%
MIL 130, PHI 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
UTA 109, MIN 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%