NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	130		Excitement	2.5 [1252]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): +12.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	1.2 [806]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -6.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.23	0.00	0.10	14	83%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Henson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.05	1	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.17	0.00	0.13	9	83%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	72%	0.05	5	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	58%	0.02	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	6	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Miroslav Raduljica	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
James Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.04	5	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	5	8%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.12	15	61%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.19	19	67%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	28.4	14.8	33.3	2.5	30.2	138.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.5%

PHI -1.9%

MIL +13.3%

MIL +4.2%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.5	15.1	131.3	107.8	105.2
season	15.7	13.7		101.4	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	14.7	14.1	16.7	15.2
PHI	13.0	16.6	12.6	12.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.14	19	1	18	15.8	14.3	1.46	14.0	13.0	1.03
O.J. Mayo	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	9	2	15.9	13.2	2.70	13.3	14.0	-0.66
Jeff Adrien	46	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	15.6	14.8	0.85	14.4	12.7	1.67
Giannis Antetokounmpo	58	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	8	4	16.1	13.8	2.34	13.6	13.4	0.23
John Henson	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	3	14	15.8	14.4	1.38	14.1	13.0	1.08
Zaza Pachulia	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	7	6	14.1	15.8	-1.72	13.4	13.6	-0.15
Ersan Ilyasova	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	13	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.85	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Brandon Knight	46	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	16	-12	14.3	15.9	-1.66	13.1	13.9	-0.73
Nate Wolters	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	11	-2	14.0	15.7	-1.66	13.6	13.5	0.11
Khris Middleton	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	17	-14	13.2	16.2	-3.06	13.2	13.7	-0.54
Miroslav Raduljica	7	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	16.1	15.1	1.07	10.9	13.8	-2.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arnett Moultrie	60	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.33	-14	-6	-8	14.0	12.9	1.06	14.9	15.5	-0.53
Elliot Williams	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-11	2	13.5	13.5	-0.04	16.0	14.7	1.27
Michael Carter-Williams	71	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-26	32	13.5	13.5	0.07	15.4	14.5	0.90
James Anderson	58	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-20	20	12.9	14.4	-1.47	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Henry Sims	43	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.19	-15	-5	-10	13.8	13.3	0.53	15.4	15.0	0.42
Thaddeus Young	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-17	14	13.2	14.2	-0.95	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Hollis Thompson	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.25	-18	-2	-16	13.5	13.6	-0.11	16.2	14.3	1.81
Tony Wroten	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-10	0	13.5	13.6	-0.06	14.3	16.6	-2.34
Byron Mullens	29	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-12	4	12.9	13.8	-0.93	15.8	14.9	0.93
Eric Maynor	33	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.44	-29	9	-38	14.8	12.9	1.82	14.4	15.5	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 114, BKN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
WAS 105, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DAL 106, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%