NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	2.5 [1250]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	1.2 [1140]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -7.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.01	-0.06	18	56%	0.14	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	10	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	11	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.08	12	62%	-0.00	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	48%	0.00	4	-0.07	10	70%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	8	35%	-0.01	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	31.4	15.4	27.5	3.5	27.4	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.1%

PHI -5.5%

PHI -4.0%

DAL +12.0%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	115.2	97.8	104.5
season	16.3	15.5		108.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.6	16.0	16.7	18.1	15.8
PHI	16.2	16.7	16.8	13.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-3	23	15.7	16.0	-0.28	15.5	16.5	-0.94
DeSagana Diop	31	31	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	0	17	14.7	16.3	-1.60	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Devin Harris	33	33	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	4	9	13.7	16.9	-3.24	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Greg Buckner	28	29	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	8	1	14.0	16.5	-2.50	15.9	15.6	0.28
Devean George	57	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	2	13	16.3	15.0	1.29	16.4	14.7	1.67
Jerry Stackhouse	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	15	-13	15.5	16.0	-0.44	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Josh Howard	66	65	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	9	-1	16.4	14.1	2.31	16.1	14.8	1.31
Jason Terry	68	67	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	17	-17	16.9	12.7	4.14	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Erick Dampier	54	54	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	21	-25	16.2	15.2	1.05	16.9	14.0	2.92
Austin Croshere	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	15.2	15.8	-0.65	10.0	16.0	-6.03
Jose Juan Barea	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	15.7	15.8	-0.11	12.3	15.8	-3.48

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jones	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-12	7	12.3	15.8	-3.48	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Rodney Carney	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-11	5	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.9	15.7	0.20
Willie Green	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-13	9	15.1	16.1	-0.93	16.5	15.3	1.24
Samuel Dalembert	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-6	-5	15.3	16.6	-1.30	16.0	15.2	0.75
Lou Williams	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-15	13	16.7	15.2	1.51	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Andre Miller	63	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-2	-13	15.2	16.7	-1.51	16.0	15.2	0.80
Joe Smith	44	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-14	11	15.5	15.9	-0.48	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Steven Hunter	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	3	-23	18.7	14.2	4.47	13.8	16.7	-2.93
Andre Iguodala	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-7	-3	15.9	13.3	2.54	15.9	14.6	1.30
Kyle Korver	63	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-8	-1	14.6	18.2	-3.63	16.4	14.4	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 114, BKN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DAL 105, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
ATL 109, DAL 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%