inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 107 Excitement2.9 [1166] MVPChucky Atkins (DET): +11.4%
Atlanta Hawks 90 Comeback1.2 [942] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -16.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.180.000.071095%0.141-0.02250%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.01-0.051261%0.081-0.00989%0.03
Jon Barry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.034100%0.051-0.002100%0.00
Damon Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00667%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.011100%0.0200.001100%0.00
Ben Wallace0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.04744%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Brian Cardinal0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01567%-0.022-0.008100%0.01
Clifford Robinson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021333%-0.0300.001100%-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.170,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.25-0.00-0.091244%-0.0510-0.128100%0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01564%0.0200.001100%0.00
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03743%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Leon Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04350%0.011-0.00475%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02644%-0.0100.00667%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.00-0.051541%-0.052-0.01771%-0.01
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001148%-0.032-0.02560%-0.00
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.030.000.04850%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.000.03850%-0.034-0.0600%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.110.00-0.021744%-0.025-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.729.315.423.91.729.3129.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +33.0%
DET +15.3%
ATL -4.4%
DET +4.7%
DET +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game13.316.315.6111.591.8102.3
season15.715.5101.999.7
opponent15.215.8103.999.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.713.014.313.413.3
ATL16.616.417.614.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse70730.480.020.470.041521313.113.8-0.6816.615.61.06
Corliss Williamson53510.400.100.30-0.011431112.614.1-1.5015.617.2-1.58
Jon Barry57570.290.210.080.0298113.013.7-0.6816.216.6-0.45
Zeljko Rebraca41420.260.240.030.06710-312.314.0-1.6915.916.7-0.82
Damon Jones33320.250.250.000.07611-513.213.3-0.1115.916.6-0.70
Chucky Atkins63660.250.25-0.00-0.07116513.313.20.1116.615.90.70
Ben Wallace59610.240.26-0.02-0.0398113.413.20.2416.815.51.30
Clifford Robinson60630.220.28-0.05-0.07107313.912.31.6116.815.51.25
Michael Curry31340.100.40-0.300.01314-1114.812.62.2517.315.81.50
Brian Cardinal650.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1314.713.21.4412.016.6-4.58
Mikki Moore760.000.50-0.500.03-118-1914.313.21.0513.016.6-3.57

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DerMarr Johnson5050-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-171715.617.1-1.4813.013.7-0.65
Leon Smith3029-0.13-0.370.25-0.223-202316.216.4-0.1611.913.9-2.03
Cal Bowdler2829-0.13-0.370.240.10-8-9114.717.0-2.2911.814.0-2.23
Ira Newble2223-0.13-0.370.23-0.08-2-151316.016.5-0.5113.213.4-0.18
Dion Glover4643-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-13915.816.8-0.9412.913.7-0.82
Mark Strickland4443-0.28-0.21-0.070.10-13-4-917.215.61.5613.713.00.61
Jacque Vaughn6765-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-11516.516.10.3713.413.10.27
Hanno Mottola5957-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-7-317.115.21.9014.212.12.12
Nazr Mohammed6867-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-203-2316.416.20.1613.911.92.03
Jason Terry7674-0.50-0.00-0.500.23-258-3316.715.31.3913.512.70.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 132, DEN 1170.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
PHX 100, UTA 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
LAL 103, NOH 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%