NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	3.2 [1141]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +12.9%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.2 [382]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (UTA): -17.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	69%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	14	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	50%	0.03	5	-0.10	14	86%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	0.01	8	35%	-0.08	6	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	31.0	23.8	27.0	2.0	35.3	147.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.2%

UTA -2.1%

UTA -9.5%

PHX +10.7%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.3	103.1	88.7	106.0
season	14.4	15.3		113.5	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	12.8	15.3	19.9	14.9
UTA	14.2	17.2	14.7	12.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	58	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-4	22	14.0	16.3	-2.35	15.4	13.7	1.67
Jared Dudley	51	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-1	16	15.2	14.7	0.52	15.0	14.5	0.56
Leandro Barbosa	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	6	2	15.4	14.5	0.88	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	14.8	15.2	-0.34	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Goran Dragic	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	10	-6	16.2	14.1	2.15	15.1	14.5	0.56
Steve Nash	59	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	4	6	14.1	16.2	-2.15	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Lou Amundson	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	10	-6	16.1	14.2	1.91	14.9	14.7	0.25
Jason Richardson	55	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	8	-2	14.5	15.4	-0.88	14.9	14.5	0.38
Grant Hill	42	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	14	-14	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.0	14.6	0.40
Jarron Collins	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	14	-14	15.0	14.9	0.05	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Dwayne Jones	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	10.5	15.1	-4.62	9.0	15.0	-6.01
Earl Clark	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.4	14.7	2.70	10.0	15.1	-5.08

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	9.3	15.2	-5.90	17.4	14.7	2.70
Othyus Jeffers	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-20	26	12.4	15.2	-2.86	20.3	13.9	6.45
Ronnie Price	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-10	6	18.1	14.2	3.83	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Kyrylo Fesenko	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	11.5	15.3	-3.81	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Mehmet Okur	66	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-16	18	14.5	15.3	-0.78	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Kyle Korver	37	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-4	-6	15.2	14.5	0.65	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Kosta Koufos	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	0	-14	14.8	14.7	0.03	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Paul Millsap	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	0	-14	15.6	11.7	3.86	15.5	12.7	2.72
Wesley Matthews	71	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-7	0	14.3	16.1	-1.80	15.4	13.4	2.01
CJ Miles	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	3	-20	15.6	12.6	2.96	13.7	18.1	-4.46
Deron Williams	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	1	-16	14.7	15.0	-0.30	14.8	15.4	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DET 107, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAS 129, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%