NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	132		Excitement	3.0 [1138]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +10.9%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.2 [610]		LVP	LaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -10.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.24	0.01	0.16	17	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	76%	0.06	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	10	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	14	44%	0.04	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.05
Byron Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	78%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	-0.01	-0.04	13	76%	0.16	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	13	81%	0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	17	55%	-0.00	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	14	41%	-0.09	3	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.6	15.4	25.0	1.8	23.5	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.9%

DEN -5.6%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +8.1%

LAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	12.8	13.7	15.6	122.2	107.3	104.4
season	15.3	15.2		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	11.6	11.2	15.2	12.8
DEN	14.3	13.6	14.9	11.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	-7	29	12.4	13.4	-0.96	14.5	12.6	1.97
Kobe Bryant	47	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	1	13	12.5	13.1	-0.66	13.1	14.2	-1.08
Travis Knight	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	2	11	12.9	12.8	0.02	14.4	12.8	1.60
Jerome Kersey	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	2	11	13.1	12.6	0.56	13.8	13.6	0.24
Robert Horry	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	-4	23	12.6	13.3	-0.65	13.8	13.5	0.30
Derek Fisher	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	16	-17	13.2	12.6	0.69	12.5	14.5	-1.92
Nick Van Exel	64	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.23	16	-1	17	12.6	13.2	-0.69	14.5	12.5	1.92
Eddie Jones	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	1	13	12.5	13.3	-0.81	14.4	12.8	1.62
Sean Rooks	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	7	1	12.4	13.0	-0.61	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Byron Scott	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	30	-45	14.3	12.5	1.85	12.5	14.0	-1.50
Joe Kleine	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	30	-45	15.1	12.4	2.70	11.5	14.1	-2.57
Corie Blount	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	28	-41	13.4	12.8	0.62	10.2	14.2	-3.94

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-28	41	10.2	14.2	-3.94	13.4	12.8	0.62
Ervin Johnson	27	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-5	-5	15.0	13.3	1.73	13.1	12.7	0.36
Brooks Thompson	51	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-29	43	12.4	14.8	-2.38	13.8	12.0	1.82
Kenny Smith	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.42	12	-27	39	12.2	14.2	-2.03	13.3	12.7	0.59
Ricky Pierce	8	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-5	-5	16.4	13.5	2.89	10.0	13.1	-3.10
Dale Ellis	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.32	-21	6	-27	13.8	13.6	0.22	11.8	13.4	-1.56
Bryant Stith	79	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.28	-20	5	-25	13.8	13.5	0.23	12.8	13.1	-0.31
Tom Hammonds	78	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-16	17	13.0	15.5	-2.50	12.9	12.7	0.17
Mark Jackson	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.36	-26	11	-37	15.3	12.3	3.00	12.3	13.3	-1.08
LaPhonso Ellis	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	7	-29	14.4	12.0	2.45	12.6	13.5	-0.88
Antonio McDyess	94	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-9	3	13.7	13.4	0.34	13.3	10.1	3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 107, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
WAS 107, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
PHX 100, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%