inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 Excitement6.2 [398] MVPJalen Duren (DET): +20.0%
Detroit Pistons 124 Comeback3.1 [570] LVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): -11.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylin Williams0.190,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.190.220.000.031486%0.304-0.117100%0.05
Kenrich Williams0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.00-0.031062%0.121-0.031100%0.00
Cason Wallace0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.090.110.000.021764%0.101-0.012100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.000.010.011651%0.083-0.07786%0.01
Buddy Boeheim0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared McCain-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.08-0.020.081656%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Branden Carlson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Topi?-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brooks Barnhizer-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.040.00819%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.20.200.200.020.021771%0.2000.00771%-0.01
Javonte Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.06-0.01475%0.1200.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.090.090.07-0.00-0.021159%0.111-0.025100%0.02
Cade Cunningham0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.050.050.070.000.021681%0.198-0.144100%0.01
Ronald Holland II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01944%0.0100.0000%0.00
Caris LeVert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01664%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniss Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.02633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ausar Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00761%0.073-0.08425%-0.04
Tobias Harris0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.04-0.00744%-0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.429.113.430.21.641.2141.4
league avg26.32.029.014.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +38.1%
OKC -10.3%
DET +21.7%
DET +0.4%
DET +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDETNBAOKCDETNBA
this game14.813.814.2114.9124.0113.3
season13.814.0117.2115.4
opponent14.214.6107.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.816.714.611.714.8
DET12.415.312.515.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Branden Carlson23230.20-0.700.90-0.0910-182817.114.22.9312.514.2-1.69
Isaiah Joe3132-0.21-0.290.070.14-124-1617.313.73.5613.613.9-0.23
Buddy Boeheim5252-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.26-2-6413.216.5-3.3213.913.70.22
Aaron Wiggins9697-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.24-5-3-215.011.43.6013.911.32.52
Nikola Topi?6159-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.20-7-1-614.215.8-1.5814.113.40.66
Jaylin Williams9088-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-91-1015.013.11.9414.210.83.35
Brooks Barnhizer6667-0.48-0.02-0.460.02-179-2616.012.73.3113.714.0-0.33
Kenrich Williams100100-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.25-80-814.911.03.8613.80.013.78
Jared McCain10098-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.32-6-2-414.812.02.8513.95.58.45
Cason Wallace10098-0.510.01-0.52-0.27-80-814.812.02.8513.96.07.94
Luguentz Dort8482-0.670.17-0.84-0.08-2012-3215.013.91.0614.112.21.97

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ausar Thompson91910.74-0.240.970.1221-133413.813.10.7414.617.1-2.53
Cade Cunningham94950.69-0.190.890.1419-113013.814.2-0.4114.815.3-0.54
Duncan Robinson82840.67-0.170.840.0820-123214.112.21.9715.013.91.06
Jalen Duren81820.57-0.070.640.0717-92614.112.51.6115.113.61.47
Daniss Jenkins87870.490.010.480.1412-41613.714.4-0.6915.013.91.04
Javonte Green60620.470.030.440.1810-21214.412.91.5114.415.5-1.17
Paul Reed89880.270.230.040.1835-214.012.11.9015.69.26.42
Kevin Huerter34340.230.27-0.030.1535-214.113.60.4214.415.0-0.62
Tobias Harris75750.220.28-0.060.1335-213.913.40.5615.911.74.16
Ronald Holland II59590.140.36-0.220.0535-213.214.7-1.4916.612.44.18
Caris LeVert65650.110.39-0.270.14-19-1013.714.0-0.3416.212.33.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 100, POR 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.81,0.98,0.99,1,194.5%
ORL 118, MIN 1240.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,192.9%
WAS 126, GSW 1350.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,192.8%