NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	126		Excitement	5.0 [887]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): +23.9%
Golden State Warriors	135		Comeback	3.9 [514]		LVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): -5.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.22	0.01	0.08	16	85%	0.25	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Kendrick Nunn	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	81%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.02	23	65%	0.13	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Delon Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.06	-0.02	22	63%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	7	87%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	5	140%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	82%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	9	94%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.04	21	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	4	-0.09	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	27.7	13.8	29.4	2.4	29.6	130.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.6%

WAS -4.7%

GSW +7.5%

GSW +8.5%

WAS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	14.4	127.3	137.8	113.4
season	14.8	13.9		113.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.6	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	14.9	15.4	13.5	14.6
GSW	16.1	13.9	12.3	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quenton Jackson	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-12	15	11.5	14.8	-3.30	17.7	14.4	3.22
Deni Avdija	57	57	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.34	13	-22	35	13.6	15.9	-2.27	15.1	14.1	0.98
Anthony Gill	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-9	9	14.4	14.7	-0.29	13.3	15.1	-1.76
Delon Wright	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	14.3	14.8	-0.56	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Kendrick Nunn	60	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	14.2	15.2	-1.01	15.0	14.2	0.81
Corey Kispert	45	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.6	14.6	0.09	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Monte Morris	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	1	-11	14.8	14.3	0.56	14.6	14.6	0.01
Daniel Gafford	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	6	-21	15.5	13.3	2.22	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Kristaps Porzingis	73	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	5	-19	14.9	13.8	1.07	14.9	13.9	0.99
Bradley Beal	71	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	7	-23	15.0	13.6	1.33	14.8	14.2	0.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	76	79	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.06	21	-12	33	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.0	12.9	2.06
Kevon Looney	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-2	13	14.5	14.9	-0.34	15.2	13.6	1.56
Ty Jerome	41	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-3	15	13.9	15.2	-1.36	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Moses Moody	17	18	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-2	13	15.1	14.5	0.57	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Klay Thompson	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Jonathan Kuminga	28	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	3	3	14.4	14.7	-0.35	14.7	14.5	0.20
Draymond Green	47	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	6	-3	14.9	14.4	0.48	15.0	14.2	0.78
Jordan Poole	58	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	16	-23	14.6	14.7	-0.18	14.7	14.4	0.33
Donte DiVincenzo	54	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	16	-23	15.1	14.0	1.08	13.8	15.5	-1.73
JaMychal Green	34	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	16	-23	14.6	14.7	-0.08	14.4	14.7	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, TOR 125	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 126, NOP 140	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
UTA 124, POR 134	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%