NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	10.1 [72]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (LAC): +50.0%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	4.1 [174]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -12.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	12	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Julian Strawther	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	3	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.03	0.01	9	76%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.06
Jamal Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	15	50%	0.19	4	-0.16	10	80%	-0.17
Christian Braun	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Joki?	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.05	-0.13	0.06	-0.01	22	43%	0.11	6	-0.16	7	57%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.5	0.50	0.20	0.35	0.05	22	67%	0.60	3	-0.10	13	92%	0.15
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.21,0.39,0.37,0.42	0.42	0.09	0.33	-0.00	15	59%	0.44	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	18	52%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.4	24.1	14.4	27.0	0.0	55.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +15.7%

LAC +30.8%

DEN -6.2%

LAC +9.4%

LAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	13.3	14.2	106.5	106.5	113.7
season	14.6	14.9		119.8	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.1		113.9	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	13.5	13.4	12.6	13.4
LAC	14.2	14.2	12.8	12.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Strawther	91	91	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.53	13	-14	27	13.2	14.9	-1.76	13.4	12.9	0.51
Christian Braun	97	96	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-7	13	13.3	14.5	-1.17	13.3	13.6	-0.30
Jamal Murray	102	101	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-2	3	13.4	13.4	0.04	13.3	13.0	0.34
Jonas Valan?i?nas	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	14.0	13.1	0.91	12.8	13.7	-0.84
Bruce Brown	104	105	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	13.5	10.3	3.20	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Cameron Johnson	107	108	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.4	0.0	13.44	13.3	0.0	13.31
Nikola Joki?	107	108	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.4	0.0	13.44	13.3	0.0	13.31
Spencer Jones	90	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	7	-15	14.0	10.4	3.60	13.5	12.6	0.83
Tim Hardaway Jr.	89	91	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.49	-6	5	-11	13.7	11.9	1.80	13.3	13.4	-0.05

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	106	106	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	13.3	16.5	-3.25	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Kris Dunn	108	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.3	0.0	13.31	13.4	0.0	13.44
Bennedict Mathurin	108	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.3	0.0	13.31	13.4	0.0	13.44
Kawhi Leonard	84	84	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.57	-11	12	-23	13.3	13.2	0.14	13.5	13.4	0.06
John Collins	87	88	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.46	-9	10	-19	13.5	12.7	0.75	13.3	14.0	-0.68
Derrick Jones Jr.	95	95	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.48	-10	11	-21	13.4	12.8	0.53	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Brook Lopez	87	86	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.49	-12	13	-25	13.5	12.7	0.75	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Jordan Miller	65	63	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	0	1	13.9	12.4	1.57	13.6	13.2	0.48
Isaiah Jackson	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	1	-1	14.4	12.9	1.55	14.7	12.9	1.78
Nicolas Batum	66	64	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	5	-9	13.6	12.8	0.83	14.0	12.6	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.36,0.23,0.37,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.9,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,1	91.9%
PHX 82, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.77,0.74,1	90.4%
DEN 93, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.97,1,1	90.4%