inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 105 Excitement1.8 [466] MVPKevin Durant (HOU): +35.9%
Charlotte Hornets 101 Comeback3.1 [582] LVPBrandon Miller (CHA): -22.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.360,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.360.250.140.032078%0.381-0.025100%0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.0.180,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.150.040.01888%0.1800.001100%0.01
Jae'Sean Tate0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.020.03487%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.04-0.00757%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Reed Sheppard0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.001250%0.082-0.062100%0.02
Amen Thompson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.01847%0.053-0.083100%0.02
Clint Capela-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tari Eason-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01928%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Alperen Sengun-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.050.001638%-0.072-0.06250%-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.030.031091%0.212-0.062100%0.02
Ryan Kalkbrenner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.00680%0.142-0.06367%-0.01
Tidjane Salaün0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01575%0.081-0.03250%-0.02
Sion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.00757%0.0100.0000%0.00
PJ Hall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.02-0.00150%0.031-0.032100%0.02
Xavier Tillman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kon Knueppel0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.070.011162%0.075-0.172100%0.01
LaMelo Ball0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.001439%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22-0.22-0.15-0.08-0.002233%-0.103-0.12786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.00.128.814.326.40.137.0130.6
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +33.9%
CHA -1.1%
CHA -4.9%
HOU +23.0%
CHA -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUCHANBAHOUCHANBA
this game14.215.914.2110.5105.2113.4
season15.415.1115.5116.9
opponent14.114.0112.6110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.713.812.515.114.2
CHA14.217.517.014.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae'Sean Tate38380.55-0.050.600.0816-122813.814.5-0.6916.815.31.51
Jabari Smith Jr.93950.52-0.020.540.4040414.47.07.3915.917.0-1.14
Kevin Durant92930.51-0.010.510.365-1614.117.7-3.5515.913.72.28
Dorian Finney-Smith90910.50-0.000.510.365-1614.116.6-2.5015.719.2-3.51
Amen Thompson83850.480.020.460.229-51414.015.6-1.5516.114.21.91
Tari Eason93920.430.070.360.3431214.46.57.9016.19.76.39
Reed Sheppard81810.320.180.130.43-48-1214.810.74.1315.915.70.17
Alperen Sengun82820.240.26-0.010.39-59-1414.910.14.8115.915.60.36
Clint Capela4546-0.090.59-0.690.14-812-2014.414.10.2815.815.9-0.14

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Tillman2424-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-3217.015.51.5012.814.7-1.87
Ryan Kalkbrenner7472-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-6815.417.6-2.2314.712.91.74
Sion James8684-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.39-1-3215.816.1-0.2514.710.93.76
Tidjane Salaün8987-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.23-73-1015.816.7-0.9114.313.50.80
Tre Mann8381-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-95-1416.213.82.3514.015.9-1.91
Kon Knueppel9695-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-415.90.015.8714.20.014.23
Brandon Miller9290-0.530.03-0.56-0.38-51-615.914.51.4314.313.40.88
PJ Hall9290-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-51-616.013.52.4814.59.25.31
Josh Green8987-0.560.06-0.61-0.38-62-816.113.62.4814.412.42.03
LaMelo Ball8887-0.570.07-0.64-0.30-95-1415.816.7-0.9514.016.6-2.61
Grant Williams8584-0.590.09-0.69-0.33-95-1416.114.21.9113.916.5-2.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 106, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.28,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.16,092.6%
UTA 96, WAS 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,092.0%
LAL 106, ORL 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,092.0%