NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	6.0 [635]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +22.7%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	3.1 [294]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (ORL): -10.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.00	12	77%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	90%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	8	76%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	22	48%	0.05	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	48%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	12	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	14	71%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.00	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.3	15.7	30.7	1.8	32.2	137.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.8%

LAL +6.3%

LAL +5.0%

ORL -4.0%

ORL -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.4	116.5	103.3	104.5
season	15.3	15.9		106.3	103.4
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	14.8	12.7	18.6	15.2
ORL	15.3	17.9	16.6	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	0	13	14.8	16.6	-1.84	16.7	16.2	0.46
Kwame Brown	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	0	13	14.8	16.4	-1.60	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Maurice Evans	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	2	9	17.2	13.7	3.54	16.9	16.3	0.65
Luke Walton	59	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	14.6	16.4	-1.75	15.9	17.7	-1.80
Sasha Vujacic	32	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	5	3	15.2	15.3	-0.04	17.6	16.0	1.61
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	9	-5	15.4	15.1	0.25	18.3	15.3	2.94
Smush Parker	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	10	-7	15.4	15.0	0.43	15.7	18.1	-2.46
Jordan Farmar	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	11	-9	16.2	14.9	1.26	17.1	16.4	0.67
Brian Cook	44	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	11	-9	14.1	16.3	-2.14	15.6	17.5	-1.86
Andrew Bynum	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	13	-13	16.4	14.8	1.60	16.7	16.5	0.16

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	38	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.02	4	-17	21	15.8	17.2	-1.43	13.7	16.4	-2.67
Hedo Turkoglu	64	65	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-18	23	15.6	19.0	-3.44	15.3	15.2	0.12
Grant Hill	52	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	-10	7	16.0	17.4	-1.49	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Carlos Arroyo	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-13	13	17.4	16.2	1.17	17.1	14.4	2.64
Keith Bogans	7	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-4	-5	19.1	16.4	2.77	16.3	15.2	1.13
Jameer Nelson	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	16.2	17.4	-1.17	14.4	17.1	-2.64
Dwight Howard	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.8	15.9	0.88	14.8	17.0	-2.22
Darko Milicic	34	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-7	1	16.9	16.4	0.42	16.9	14.3	2.62
Keyon Dooling	38	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	-3	-7	17.4	16.0	1.49	15.9	14.8	1.08
Trevor Ariza	56	57	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.15	-21	8	-29	17.6	15.0	2.60	15.7	14.4	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%
CHA 95, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.0%
TOR 110, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%