NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	5.7 [647]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +36.9%
Boston Celtics	83		Comeback	3.0 [246]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -16.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.21	0.13	-0.02	22	68%	0.37	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	11	67%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	15	47%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	13	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	13	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.05
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.02	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	14	39%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	10	35%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	13	46%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.0	14.8	29.2	2.4	33.9	137.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +55.5%

BOS -13.2%

BOS -2.0%

CHA +8.0%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.9	14.1	15.4	105.6	92.2	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.1	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.1	18.3	16.8	19.4	17.9
BOS	14.2	16.0	13.8	12.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	80	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-3	18	17.4	21.2	-3.76	13.7	17.8	-4.04
Gerald Wallace	83	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	17.7	19.1	-1.40	13.8	20.4	-6.62
Nazr Mohammed	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	18.0	17.7	0.24	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Jason Richardson	82	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	17.7	19.7	-2.08	14.2	13.3	0.95
Matt Carroll	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	17.4	18.2	-0.84	13.3	14.7	-1.43
Jeff McInnis	62	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	18.7	16.0	2.69	15.2	11.9	3.27
Jared Dudley	5	6	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	8	-4	16.0	18.0	-1.96	12.5	14.3	-1.76
Emeka Okafor	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	11	-10	18.2	17.6	0.58	14.9	13.4	1.46
Ryan Hollins	8	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	19.7	17.7	2.08	19.0	13.8	5.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Pruitt	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	3.0	14.4	-11.40	24.0	17.8	6.21
Scot Pollard	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-13	14	16.5	13.6	2.86	20.4	17.3	3.15
Tony Allen	51	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-15	18	15.0	13.0	2.06	18.8	16.5	2.26
Brian Scalabrine	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-6	0	13.4	14.5	-1.07	17.3	18.1	-0.72
Kevin Garnett	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	14.9	12.4	2.48	17.7	18.2	-0.47
Rajon Rondo	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-6	0	13.6	15.5	-1.90	17.7	18.4	-0.71
Kendrick Perkins	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	13.9	14.6	-0.68	17.4	18.6	-1.20
Eddie House	33	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	3	-18	13.2	14.7	-1.52	17.3	18.2	-0.91
James Posey	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.88	17.6	18.5	-0.92
Paul Pierce	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	3	-18	14.2	13.8	0.43	17.8	18.0	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.3,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 85, DET 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
DET 106, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%