NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	7.2 [278]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN): +36.6%
Denver Nuggets	122		Comeback	1.3 [704]		LVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): -12.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.01	7	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.02	11	61%	0.16	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Jaylen Wells	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.02	0.05	9	89%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
GG Jackson	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.12	0.00	0.00	12	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahmai Mashack	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawson Lovering	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	8	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.03,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.22	0.14	-0.00	8	105%	0.37	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	6	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	18	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Joki?	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.23,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.16	9	-0.28	14	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	0.0	30.4	0.0	29.1	0.0	34.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.8%

DEN +11.1%

DEN +45.8%

MEM -25.3%

DEN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	14.2	117.2	123.2	113.5
season	13.8	14.8		112.3	119.6
opponent	14.1	14.3		116.0	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	15.6	13.0	12.5	13.6
DEN	11.6	18.0	15.3	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	48	47	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-9	12	15.4	11.9	3.43	17.5	13.6	3.93
Jaylen Wells	47	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-13	20	14.9	12.5	2.37	16.8	14.2	2.52
Kyle Anderson	43	43	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.01	3	-9	12	15.0	12.5	2.55	17.2	14.1	3.12
Lawson Lovering	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-5	4	13.4	14.6	-1.23	15.0	17.6	-2.65
Taylor Hendricks	76	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	1	-8	14.8	9.6	5.26	15.2	16.5	-1.37
Scotty Pippen Jr.	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	13.7	12.6	1.09	15.8	12.3	3.50
Jahmai Mashack	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	7	-20	14.3	10.5	3.88	14.6	19.2	-4.60
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	92	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	13.5	15.3	-1.81	16.0	9.1	6.88
Cam Spencer	99	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.6	0.0	13.61	15.4	0.0	15.44
GG Jackson	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.6	0.0	13.61	15.4	0.0	15.44
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	81	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	3	-12	14.0	11.7	2.37	15.7	14.1	1.65

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	95	94	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	15.3	19.5	-4.23	14.0	6.6	7.38
Tim Hardaway Jr.	95	93	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	15.3	19.5	-4.23	14.1	6.2	7.92
Nikola Joki?	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.4	0.0	15.44	13.6	0.0	13.61
Christian Braun	91	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.33	5	1	4	16.0	9.1	6.88	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Jamal Murray	89	88	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	15.8	12.3	3.50	13.7	12.6	1.09
Cameron Johnson	84	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	-2	10	15.0	17.7	-2.70	14.2	10.5	3.62
Jonas Valan?i?nas	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	18.6	13.6	5.03	14.9	12.8	2.10
Jalen Pickett	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	-3	12	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.7	13.2	1.48
Julian Strawther	58	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	7	-8	16.6	13.8	2.80	15.3	11.2	4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.78,0.84,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, MEM 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.88,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.58,1	93.2%
UTA 81, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.55,0.73,1	91.2%
HOU 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	91.0%