NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	81		Excitement	6.2 [606]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.3%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	1.3 [1095]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -19.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.11	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	10	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.04
Ben Handlogten	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	9	36%	-0.06	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	15	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.08
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	13	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.06	-0.01	11	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	5	37%	-0.05	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	30.5	16.6	27.3	2.6	38.3	145.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.9%

DAL +6.1%

DAL +12.5%

DAL +20.7%

DAL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	17.9	14.9	15.5	92.0	100.0	104.0
season	16.7	14.9		102.3	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.8	18.6	16.7	15.7	17.9
DAL	15.2	12.7	14.6	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-10	13	16.5	18.5	-1.96	16.8	13.9	2.84
Randy Livingston	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	0	-7	18.9	17.6	1.25	13.3	15.3	-1.98
Kirk Snyder	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	15.2	20.6	-5.38	16.1	13.5	2.68
Howard Eisley	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.8	18.6	-2.83	17.1	14.0	3.07
Keith McLeod	58	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	18.6	16.5	2.04	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Kris Humphries	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-10	13	16.2	20.6	-4.42	15.3	14.1	1.17
Jarron Collins	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	4	-15	19.6	16.7	2.94	11.5	17.1	-5.54
Gordan Giricek	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	3	-13	17.9	17.8	0.17	13.2	18.3	-5.16
Matt Harpring	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	19.0	14.8	4.13	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Mehmet Okur	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	19.7	14.8	4.89	16.3	12.4	3.88

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	15.5	13.3	2.19	18.3	17.0	1.30
Keith Van Horn	29	28	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	15.2	14.7	0.58	14.1	19.6	-5.47
Josh Howard	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-1	9	15.0	14.5	0.49	17.5	18.6	-1.19
Michael Finley	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	7	-7	15.2	13.7	1.56	17.2	20.1	-2.98
Dirk Nowitzki	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	14.9	14.6	0.33	18.7	14.3	4.35
Jerry Stackhouse	42	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-1	9	13.0	16.5	-3.54	18.1	17.7	0.37
Erick Dampier	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	0	7	14.9	14.8	0.07	20.0	15.5	4.45
Shawn Bradley	19	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	6	-5	15.6	14.7	0.93	15.2	18.5	-3.27
Darrell Armstrong	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	8	-9	20.2	14.5	5.70	14.9	18.1	-3.28
Marquis Daniels	15	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.7	1.14	20.8	17.3	3.46
Alan Henderson	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	10	-13	12.2	15.3	-3.01	17.5	17.9	-0.49
Devin Harris	19	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	12.5	15.5	-3.03	19.1	17.6	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.76,0.85,1	92.5%
PHI 95, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,1	91.7%
POR 115, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	91.7%