inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 119 Excitement9.3 [100] MVPDonovan Mitchell (CLE): +49.5%
Denver Nuggets 117 Comeback13.4 [69] LVPBruce Brown (DEN): -14.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0.490,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.490.130.380.022359%0.562-0.07887%0.06
James Harden0.320,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.320.080.240.001658%0.372-0.056100%0.04
Jarrett Allen0.200,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.20.100.110.011661%0.2000.00450%-0.04
Nae'Qwan Tomlin0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.020.003100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Sam Merrill0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00675%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00362%0.0400.002100%0.02
Jaylon Tyson0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.020.05-0.04-0.011362%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Craig Porter Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dennis Schröder-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00731%-0.071-0.04250%-0.02
Keon Ellis-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.05-0.03520%-0.082-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Braun0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.120.12-0.011371%0.271-0.022100%0.01
Nikola Joki?0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.150.15-0.030.170.001165%0.347-0.191283%0.06
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.005100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.050.041657%0.121-0.04367%-0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00467%0.082-0.041080%-0.01
Jalen Pickett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,-0.02-0.020.05-0.07-0.011055%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.03-0.011647%0.031-0.054100%0.02
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.06-0.0067%-0.1500.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.30.027.50.031.40.038.30.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +31.3%
CLE +21.0%
DEN -10.8%
CLE +7.1%
CLE +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game14.414.614.2121.4117.0113.5
season13.514.8116.0119.6
opponent14.114.5116.0111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.713.114.414.714.4
DEN14.814.613.315.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Merrill64650.78-0.281.050.4810-81814.215.0-0.8014.514.8-0.35
Jaylon Tyson82830.69-0.190.880.545-3814.414.9-0.5114.813.61.15
Jarrett Allen82830.69-0.190.880.545-3814.414.9-0.5114.813.61.15
James Harden89910.63-0.130.770.495-3814.513.70.8614.812.42.37
Donovan Mitchell981000.500.000.500.4420214.40.014.4514.60.014.60
Keon Ellis45470.000.50-0.50-0.0620214.714.30.4015.114.11.00
Craig Porter Jr.3131-0.040.54-0.58-0.0402-213.514.9-1.3213.115.3-2.13
Thomas Bryant6364-0.310.81-1.12-0.11-79-1614.314.6-0.2814.115.5-1.36
Nae'Qwan Tomlin6161-0.360.86-1.21-0.03-1113-2414.614.30.2914.015.6-1.62
Dennis Schröder8081-0.400.90-1.31-0.08-1113-2414.315.1-0.7414.116.7-2.64

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Pickett77770.36-0.861.220.109-112014.714.30.3814.514.30.15
Julian Strawther87860.34-0.841.170.137-91614.316.8-2.5814.712.71.94
Bruce Brown83820.29-0.791.090.155-71214.713.90.7914.613.70.84
Jonas Valan?i?nas89890.28-0.781.050.164-61014.614.30.3714.315.8-1.46
Cameron Johnson63630.13-0.630.770.16-1-1015.513.12.4114.214.9-0.68
Christian Braun8182-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.543-5814.614.6-0.0414.713.01.73
Jamal Murray9694-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.491-3414.615.5-0.9414.611.23.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.9695-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-1-1014.89.05.8314.320.3-6.07
Nikola Joki?8584-0.600.10-0.70-0.48-42-614.714.30.3914.315.1-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.92,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 100, LAC 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,092.0%
BOS 86, MIA 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,091.1%
MIN 97, ATL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.84,091.0%