NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	2.8 [950]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +12.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	138		Comeback	1.0 [926]		LVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): -5.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.01	0.07	25	62%	0.12	3	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	5	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	9	16%	-0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Asa Newell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	19	59%	-0.01	6	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.02	21	64%	0.14	4	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.00	-0.09	14	64%	0.14	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	7	93%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	78%	0.05	2	-0.00	9	44%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	13	78%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.0	28.4	0.0	27.3	0.0	37.5	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.9%

ATL -7.1%

ATL -4.4%

MIN +11.6%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	12.9	14.2	105.5	125.5	113.5
season	13.3	13.9		113.2	114.7
opponent	14.1	14.5		111.5	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.0	15.7	14.4	12.4	13.3
MIN	12.9	10.9	15.0	12.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-18	14	17.6	12.9	4.73	12.6	12.9	-0.34
Asa Newell	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-6	-10	12.8	13.9	-1.16	13.3	12.4	0.94
Mouhamed Gueye	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-10	-2	13.4	13.1	0.28	13.4	11.8	1.55
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	100	101	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-5	-12	13.2	14.3	-1.10	13.1	9.9	3.24
Onyeka Okongwu	90	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.31	-27	5	-32	13.6	11.9	1.71	13.0	12.4	0.51
Jock Landale	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	-5	-12	13.7	11.9	1.81	12.7	13.3	-0.55
Corey Kispert	107	108	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.15	-22	0	-22	13.3	14.3	-1.06	12.9	13.5	-0.65
Zaccharie Risacher	83	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.32	-28	6	-34	13.4	13.0	0.45	12.2	14.9	-2.68
Gabe Vincent	108	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	1	-24	13.2	18.0	-4.79	12.7	29.0	-16.28
CJ McCollum	96	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.43	-32	10	-42	13.1	14.8	-1.70	12.4	16.5	-4.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	110	110	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	0	22	12.9	0.0	12.86	13.3	0.0	13.30
Julius Randle	110	110	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	0	22	12.9	0.0	12.86	13.3	0.0	13.30
Naz Reid	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	3	16	12.9	12.7	0.25	13.6	12.4	1.17
Anthony Edwards	104	104	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.18	22	0	22	13.2	7.5	5.67	13.3	13.2	0.14
Jaden McDaniels	100	99	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	2	18	13.2	9.1	4.14	13.6	11.0	2.56
Rudy Gobert	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	10	2	13.5	11.7	1.75	13.6	12.6	0.98
Bones Hyland	71	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	18	-14	13.5	11.6	1.89	13.2	13.4	-0.14
Donte DiVincenzo	81	82	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	12	-2	13.6	10.8	2.86	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Jaylen Clark	36	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	19	-16	14.3	12.2	2.14	15.3	12.3	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, PHX 132	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 78, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DAL 97, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%