NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	2.4 [1257]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +10.9%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	1.1 [565]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -9.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	10	61%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	20	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	0.00	0.12	9	78%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	7	54%	-0.04	2	-0.01	12	83%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.00	0.06	27	62%	0.13	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.00	-0.05	18	56%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	23%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	42%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	28.5	16.6	25.3	2.5	32.4	130.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.1%

DAL -1.0%

WAS +6.5%

WAS +0.2%

WAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.8	15.4	106.6	116.5	104.5
season	16.3	14.8		108.7	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.5	16.3	14.2	11.6	14.9
WAS	14.5	17.1	15.8	19.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-18	27	13.4	15.2	-1.79	16.4	16.9	-0.42
DJ Mbenga	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-8	7	17.3	14.4	2.87	17.2	16.7	0.50
Devean George	33	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-17	25	13.5	15.7	-2.17	18.6	15.8	2.85
DeSagana Diop	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	17.2	14.6	2.62	21.4	16.3	5.18
Greg Buckner	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.0	14.8	0.15	14.2	17.1	-2.96
Anthony Johnson	36	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-8	7	15.9	14.2	1.64	17.4	16.4	0.91
Jason Terry	49	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	14.3	15.5	-1.22	18.0	15.2	2.86
Jerry Stackhouse	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-9	9	15.2	14.6	0.65	17.0	16.6	0.43
Devin Harris	52	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	0	-9	14.6	15.2	-0.54	16.3	17.5	-1.19
Erick Dampier	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	14.5	15.5	-1.06	16.4	17.4	-1.01
Josh Howard	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	7	-23	15.4	14.0	1.43	16.1	17.9	-1.89
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	8	-25	14.7	15.4	-0.67	15.7	21.4	-5.70

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-7	23	16.3	18.6	-2.21	15.1	14.0	1.07
Gilbert Arenas	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-6	21	16.1	20.4	-4.23	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Antawn Jamison	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	7	-5	17.0	15.2	1.76	14.3	18.0	-3.65
DeShawn Stevenson	58	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-4	17	14.8	20.2	-5.34	15.4	14.1	1.32
Etan Thomas	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	-10	29	14.8	18.8	-4.08	16.2	13.5	2.64
Brendan Haywood	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.52	-10	19	-29	18.9	14.9	3.94	13.7	16.0	-2.25
Antonio Daniels	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	18	-27	19.9	14.6	5.33	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Jarvis Hayes	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	9	-9	17.3	16.5	0.82	15.4	14.6	0.84
Donell Taylor	10	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	10	-11	21.3	16.2	5.08	15.4	14.8	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MIL 94, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CLE 74, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%