NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	2.6 [1246]		MVP	Al Harrington (GSW): +8.8%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	1.2 [1203]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -8.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	5	40%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	19	53%	0.01	4	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	10	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	9	27%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	15	33%	-0.06	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.04	17	54%	0.12	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	8	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	92%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	14	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	29.0	15.3	26.5	2.5	25.3	123.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.7%

MIL -0.6%

MIL -3.9%

GSW +8.9%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	13.1	15.4	89.1	118.8	105.7
season	15.8	13.5		103.4	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	16.9	13.2	15.0	15.4
GSW	14.3	14.4	12.5	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	15	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.20	-7	-23	16	15.3	15.4	-0.10	11.9	13.3	-1.35
Charlie Villanueva	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-21	12	15.5	15.3	0.20	12.8	13.3	-0.54
Charlie Bell	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.29	-14	-16	2	16.2	15.0	1.17	12.8	13.2	-0.41
Royal Ivey	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-21	12	15.7	15.3	0.34	12.4	13.4	-1.03
Dan Gadzuric	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-22	14	15.3	15.5	-0.16	13.6	12.9	0.75
Bobby Simmons	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-18	6	15.0	16.0	-1.04	12.3	14.1	-1.79
Andrew Bogut	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-15	0	15.5	15.3	0.18	13.1	13.1	0.00
Michael Redd	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-16	2	15.1	16.0	-0.88	13.1	13.1	0.03
Mo Williams	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.26	-21	-9	-12	15.3	15.7	-0.34	13.4	12.4	1.03
Yi Jianlian	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	-11	-8	15.4	15.4	0.00	13.5	12.5	0.95
Desmond Mason	47	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	-8	-14	15.7	15.1	0.58	14.0	12.3	1.72

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	60	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	7	16	12.8	13.5	-0.74	15.4	15.4	0.05
Baron Davis	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.50	31	-1	32	14.2	11.3	2.94	16.0	14.5	1.51
Stephen Jackson	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	11	8	13.5	12.4	1.08	15.6	15.1	0.54
Matt Barnes	39	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	16	-2	11.9	13.8	-1.92	15.5	15.4	0.12
DJ Mbenga	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	18	-6	13.6	12.9	0.73	15.9	15.2	0.61
Al Harrington	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	18	-6	14.6	11.8	2.79	16.3	14.7	1.57
Andris Biedrins	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	19	-8	13.5	12.8	0.75	15.9	15.1	0.86
Kelenna Azubuike	56	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	20	-10	11.9	14.6	-2.79	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Troy Hudson	41	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.17	7	23	-16	13.5	12.8	0.74	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Austin Croshere	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.20	7	23	-16	11.9	13.6	-1.67	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Patrick O'Bryant	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	11.4	13.4	-2.02	12.2	15.9	-3.74
Brandan Wright	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	11.6	13.4	-1.83	13.3	15.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
IND 87, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 106, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%