NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	2.0 [417]		MVP	Nic Claxton (BKN): +25.8%
Brooklyn Nets	123		Comeback	1.6 [436]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CHI): -15.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	17	66%	0.25	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Isaac Okoro	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jaden Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Nick Richards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Rob Dillingham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	18	48%	-0.05	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.07	0.02	15	78%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Danny Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.01	7	81%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.04	11	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.01	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Drake Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.04	-0.02	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Traore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ben Saraf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	30%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.5	30.0	14.3	33.1	0.3	33.8	139.4
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +48.0%

CHI -5.8%

BKN +11.3%

CHI -4.0%

BKN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	12.9	13.7	14.2	107.5	112.8	113.4
season	13.5	14.8		111.4	107.0
opponent	14.3	14.2		117.1	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.9	13.4	11.4	14.2	12.9
BKN	12.6	13.3	14.3	14.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Ivey	76	76	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-10	12	12.6	13.7	-1.10	13.7	13.6	0.05
Patrick Williams	67	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	13.2	12.5	0.72	13.9	13.3	0.68
Rob Dillingham	90	91	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	12.6	14.8	-2.19	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Nick Richards	97	97	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-4	0	12.8	14.6	-1.85	13.9	12.2	1.69
Collin Sexton	107	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.9	0.0	12.93	13.7	0.0	13.67
Guerschon Yabusele	46	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	6	-20	14.1	12.0	2.04	14.3	13.2	1.17
Anfernee Simons	91	94	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.26	-20	12	-32	13.7	8.6	5.13	13.5	14.9	-1.47
Isaac Okoro	87	90	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.29	-24	16	-40	13.8	9.2	4.52	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Matas Buzelis	80	81	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.25	-26	18	-44	13.7	10.5	3.27	13.5	14.0	-0.49

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Traore	88	86	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.30	24	-16	40	13.5	14.2	-0.70	13.8	9.4	4.35
Danny Wolf	83	81	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.27	25	-17	42	13.4	14.5	-1.09	14.0	9.5	4.58
Terance Mann	83	81	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.27	25	-17	42	13.4	14.5	-1.09	14.0	9.5	4.58
Noah Clowney	90	87	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.29	24	-16	40	13.4	14.8	-1.36	13.8	9.2	4.52
Nic Claxton	90	87	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.29	24	-16	40	13.4	14.8	-1.36	13.8	9.2	4.52
Ziaire Williams	88	88	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	13.8	13.2	0.59	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Drake Powell	92	92	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	13.7	13.7	-0.04	12.8	13.8	-1.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	82	83	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	7	-6	13.9	12.9	1.04	13.1	12.2	0.87
Jalen Wilson	82	82	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	8	-8	13.8	13.4	0.40	12.7	13.8	-1.14
Ben Saraf	66	66	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	13	-18	13.7	13.6	0.18	12.7	13.3	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.7%
DEN 87, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.1%
NOH 74, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.97,1	92.4%