NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	1.8 [496]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +19.1%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.8 [818]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -22.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.09	0.03	7	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	16	61%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	73%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	5	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Courtney Lee	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	13	31%	-0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	8	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.07	-0.07	18	49%	0.21	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	12	58%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	9	44%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.07	-0.03	19	32%	-0.11	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	36.2	13.0	27.6	0.7	31.5	139.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +3.5%

BOS -9.1%

TOR +35.6%

TOR +21.5%

BOS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.1	93.5	100.0	105.2
season	15.4	15.9		101.2	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	17.0	12.8	15.8	15.0
TOR	15.5	13.5	17.2	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	38	39	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.20	14	-20	34	14.5	15.4	-0.86	16.9	15.3	1.66
Brandon Bass	61	63	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.15	12	-18	30	15.3	14.4	0.87	15.5	17.0	-1.54
Jeff Green	71	73	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-14	22	14.7	16.1	-1.47	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Phil Pressey	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	17.9	14.7	3.13	9.0	16.7	-7.70
Jordan Crawford	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-4	2	14.8	15.1	-0.29	16.4	15.6	0.80
Avery Bradley	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.3	-0.53	16.9	14.5	2.33
Gerald Wallace	79	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-5	4	14.9	15.9	-1.00	15.6	17.7	-2.12
Courtney Lee	28	26	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	10	-26	16.1	14.5	1.62	16.8	15.6	1.18
Vitor Faverani	53	52	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.14	-19	13	-32	15.6	14.2	1.33	15.7	16.3	-0.69
Kelly Olynyk	34	32	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	13	-32	14.1	15.5	-1.36	16.2	15.8	0.45

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	44	46	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-4	14	16.8	15.2	1.68	15.5	14.5	1.01
DeMar DeRozan	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	0	6	16.1	15.3	0.82	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Jonas Valanciunas	60	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-2	10	15.8	16.2	-0.40	15.2	14.7	0.50
Kyle Lowry	67	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	3	0	16.1	15.5	0.63	14.4	16.7	-2.28
Rudy Gay	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	16.1	15.5	0.58	14.5	16.4	-1.91
Steve Novak	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	4	-2	17.1	15.8	1.29	16.2	14.8	1.33
D.J. Augustin	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	3	0	15.5	16.1	-0.63	16.7	14.4	2.28
Terrence Ross	25	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	5	-4	14.5	16.5	-1.97	15.7	14.8	0.85
Landry Fields	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	4	-2	16.3	15.7	0.58	15.8	14.6	1.25
Tyler Hansbrough	52	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	10	-14	15.2	17.0	-1.82	14.3	15.9	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	91.9%
DEN 87, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	91.8%
SEA 88, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.83,1	91.6%