inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 87 Excitement7.8 [231] MVPSteve Blake (LAL): +22.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Comeback2.0 [609] LVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): -23.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.220.120.10-0.001862%0.261-0.043100%0.02
Ty Lawson0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.05-0.001960%0.092-0.0520%-0.04
Arron Afflalo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.040.06-0.010.001162%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Timofey Mozgov-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.040.01730%-0.0900.00667%0.01
Corey Brewer-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00922%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.140,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.080.00560%-0.024-0.1200%0.00
Andre Miller-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.02-0.021014%-0.065-0.141100%0.01
Danilo Gallinari-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.17-0.08-0.02917%-0.084-0.1500%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.140.09-0.001186%0.322-0.0900%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.060.021953%0.121-0.025100%0.02
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.021547%0.071-0.04250%-0.01
Devin Ebanks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001647%-0.013-0.06425%-0.06
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.01824%-0.081-0.0310%-0.02
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.090.041539%-0.151-0.031173%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.830.0-701.332.43.439.3-565.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +21.0%
DEN -8.5%
LAL +3.0%
LAL +30.9%
LAL +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game16.317.015.6101.2110.3102.8
season14.516.2107.5103.8
opponent15.115.8103.5104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.815.713.621.216.3
LAL16.915.717.717.817.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington54540.11-0.610.71-0.076-152115.916.9-0.9915.918.7-2.82
Corey Brewer22240.09-0.590.680.061-101117.016.10.9815.517.5-2.04
Andre Miller5152-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-9916.815.61.1615.419.4-4.01
JaVale McGee5659-0.20-0.300.11-0.293-121515.817.3-1.5717.016.90.12
Timofey Mozgov2928-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-1-715.516.7-1.2017.916.51.40
Danilo Gallinari4445-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.07-123-1516.216.5-0.3218.215.72.44
Ty Lawson7675-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.25-6-3-316.019.0-3.0417.513.44.13
Arron Afflalo6565-0.600.10-0.70-0.31-101-1116.216.6-0.4017.315.91.43
Kenneth Faried3333-0.700.20-0.90-0.14-1910-2918.514.93.6217.816.41.40

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace79790.78-0.281.070.2618-92716.719.5-2.7816.810.95.94
Pau Gasol74740.65-0.150.810.2414-51917.017.1-0.1216.813.23.56
Kobe Bryant81810.480.020.450.2190917.016.50.5116.317.2-0.94
Andrew Bynum77770.440.060.370.2663317.413.93.4816.118.2-2.13
Steve Blake54510.260.240.030.2418-717.016.90.0616.915.51.44
Ramon Sessions35380.050.45-0.40-0.0436-317.316.70.6114.817.5-2.78
Devin Ebanks200.000.50-0.500.0009-92.017.3-15.330.016.3-16.31
Matt Barnes119-0.070.57-0.650.04-413-1718.516.81.6915.816.4-0.60
Jordan Hill2221-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-211-1316.417.2-0.7615.416.6-1.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 83, TOR 860.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.83,0.75,0.93,0.98,0.98,192.2%
LAL 89, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.32,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.96,192.0%
NYK 80, NJN 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.96,1,191.9%