NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	83		Excitement	6.9 [484]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +20.7%
Toronto Raptors	86		Comeback	1.8 [882]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -16.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	3	111%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	11	58%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	9	15%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	25	31%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	0.03	10	45%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	14	41%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	0.01	16	65%	0.23	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	10	75%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	19	49%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	25.7	14.8	27.4	2.3	35.6	131.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.9%

SAS -8.6%

SAS -8.0%

TOR +5.2%

TOR +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	TOR	NBA	SAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	14.7	86.5	90.5	107.5
season	15.5	14.6		106.7	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.5		105.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.9	17.8	14.4	13.6	15.8
TOR	15.7	12.7	15.0	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joffrey Lauvergne	10	9	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-10	17	15.4	15.8	-0.41	17.1	14.1	3.02
Bryn Forbes	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-9	15	14.6	16.6	-2.03	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Tony Parker	34	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-4	5	16.2	15.5	0.72	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Dejounte Murray	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	16.5	14.9	1.61	14.5	14.2	0.24
Kyle Anderson	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-8	13	15.1	16.9	-1.75	14.8	13.7	1.10
Davis Bertans	39	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	0	-3	16.4	15.4	0.99	13.9	14.7	-0.81
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-2	1	15.6	16.5	-0.96	14.5	14.0	0.49
Patty Mills	57	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.4	16.3	-0.82	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Pau Gasol	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	6	-15	15.7	15.9	-0.17	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Danny Green	45	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	8	-19	16.9	14.8	2.15	15.1	13.7	1.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-2	7	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Serge Ibaka	59	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	14.5	14.1	0.39	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Jonas Valanciunas	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	15.2	13.0	2.18	15.4	16.4	-1.03
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	2	-1	14.7	13.3	1.42	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Delon Wright	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	3	-3	13.4	15.2	-1.78	15.6	16.0	-0.41
CJ Miles	41	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-2	7	14.1	14.6	-0.54	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Jakob Poeltl	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	13.3	15.0	-1.73	16.8	15.2	1.66
OG Anunoby	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	6	-9	15.5	13.7	1.77	17.3	14.9	2.34
Norman Powell	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	13.5	14.6	-1.10	17.1	15.4	1.71
Pascal Siakam	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	9	-15	13.9	14.7	-0.84	15.5	15.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.83,0.75,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%
WAS 77, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,1	92.7%
MIL 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.4%