inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 127 Excitement4.5 [733] MVPCJ McCollum (ATL): +16.6%
Miami Heat 115 Comeback1.4 [471] LVPKel'el Ware (MIA): -8.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.01-0.001872%0.182-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kennard0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.020.006100%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jalen Johnson0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.020.022066%0.152-0.03450%-0.01
Corey Kispert0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.01-0.011348%0.0600.001100%0.01
Asa Newell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.00480%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Keaton Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.052145%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher-0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00744%-0.001-0.0320%-0.03
Dyson Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.04460%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Christian Koloko-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01325%-0.021-0.022100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Myron Gardner0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.010.02878%0.1000.002100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.041556%0.0500.002100%0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.011264%0.083-0.044100%0.01
Nikola Jovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02362%0.0100.002100%0.01
Keshad Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahmir Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01450%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.010.081757%-0.012-0.03367%0.01
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01540%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.031640%0.023-0.088100%0.04
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01520%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.010.000.071041%-0.0800.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.50.026.30.027.30.028.90.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +56.8%
MIA -16.9%
ATL +0.1%
ATL +9.9%
ATL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game13.812.614.2117.6104.5113.5
season13.312.8113.2114.1
opponent14.514.5111.0112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL11.913.414.116.213.8
MIA12.712.811.613.212.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ McCollum1061080.500.000.500.0615-31813.718.5-4.7612.610.52.11
Corey Kispert96980.430.070.360.14102813.714.8-1.1412.811.01.77
Jalen Johnson97960.360.140.230.1675214.011.92.1312.314.2-1.88
Dyson Daniels76760.320.180.130.1757-213.414.9-1.4912.413.1-0.70
Asa Newell89910.310.190.120.0884413.714.3-0.6012.911.21.65
Luke Kennard68680.290.210.08-0.031111013.813.9-0.1613.011.91.04
Nickeil Alexander-Walker93940.260.240.030.1257-213.814.1-0.3612.811.41.40
Mouhamed Gueye73760.200.30-0.100.20012-1214.312.91.3512.612.50.11
Christian Koloko42400.170.33-0.150.0648-413.014.3-1.2712.612.60.00
Zaccharie Risacher76780.110.39-0.270.20-315-1814.013.50.4612.612.50.10
Keaton Wallace24250.020.48-0.450.17-517-2216.213.13.0713.212.40.86

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myron Gardner61600.01-0.510.52-0.176-182412.313.0-0.7014.513.01.52
Keshad Johnson2322-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-141613.512.31.1416.013.32.73
Jahmir Young2524-0.02-0.480.45-0.175-172213.212.40.8616.213.13.07
Davion Mitchell7373-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-8412.512.6-0.0713.514.5-1.06
Bam Adebayo7777-0.19-0.310.13-0.10-3-9612.512.8-0.2613.614.4-0.83
Nikola Jovi?2526-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-5-213.012.40.5513.613.9-0.27
Simone Fontecchio8888-0.20-0.300.09-0.17-1-111012.413.1-0.7014.112.41.69
Pelle Larsson9592-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-6012.712.00.6613.814.1-0.35
Kel'el Ware9088-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.14-8-4-412.612.40.2113.814.0-0.28
Dru Smith8886-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.05-11-1-1012.712.20.4313.714.5-0.79
Kasparas Jaku?ionis9895-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-10-2-812.811.01.7713.814.2-0.37
Jaime Jaquez Jr.108106-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-153-1812.610.52.1113.718.5-4.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 119, SAS 1010.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
SAS 118, POR 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
UTA 123, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.01,094.6%