inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 118 Excitement3.7 [1075] MVPTiago Splitter (SAS): +9.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Comeback1.0 [769] LVPDamian Lillard (POR): -7.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tiago Splitter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.024100%0.0900.001100%0.01
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.13-0.010.042067%0.113-0.033100%0.00
Boris Diaw0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.01669%0.071-0.011100%0.00
Patty Mills0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.02550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011849%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.061059%0.0300.007100%0.02
Danny Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00854%0.032-0.0310100%0.03
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.010.061463%0.091-0.02786%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.031377%0.133-0.0600%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Earl Watson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Meyers Leonard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.042342%0.012-0.02475%-0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.010.07576%0.023-0.07771%-0.00
Victor Claver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0100%-0.031-0.0240%-0.04
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.022143%-0.042-0.037100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.432.517.629.33.637.0148.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.8%
SAS +7.2%
POR -4.4%
SAS +17.9%
SAS +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game15.513.915.1119.2106.2105.2
season15.015.1109.8109.6
opponent14.815.0106.5101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.415.215.317.015.5
POR17.016.112.011.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili62590.53-0.030.56-0.1824-93314.417.3-2.8514.313.31.02
Boris Diaw47470.480.020.46-0.1722-72914.416.5-2.1415.212.72.53
Patty Mills25270.330.170.15-0.111501514.215.9-1.7215.213.41.80
Tim Duncan80790.240.26-0.010.0187115.913.52.4214.113.11.02
Tony Parker73700.190.31-0.110.13213-1115.316.0-0.6513.714.3-0.52
Aron Baynes10100.180.32-0.14-0.0378-116.115.40.6812.314.1-1.77
Marco Belinelli31310.180.32-0.140.03510-516.714.91.8314.813.51.30
Danny Green42410.170.33-0.150.23-217-1915.315.6-0.3513.114.5-1.37
Kawhi Leonard60580.110.39-0.280.02312-915.216.0-0.8113.813.9-0.10
Tiago Splitter57550.090.41-0.320.24-520-2515.315.8-0.4813.314.7-1.38
Matt Bonner330.000.50-0.500.06-217-1927.315.112.224.714.2-9.51
Jeff Ayres330.000.50-0.500.06-217-1927.315.112.224.714.2-9.51
Cory Joseph220.000.50-0.500.00015-1540.015.025.027.014.0-7.03

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Freeland330.00-0.500.50-0.062-17194.714.2-9.5127.315.112.22
CJ McCollum330.00-0.500.50-0.062-17194.714.2-9.5127.315.112.22
Meyers Leonard330.00-0.500.50-0.062-17194.714.2-9.5127.315.112.22
Victor Claver109-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-131110.014.3-4.3314.915.5-0.66
Thomas Robinson1417-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-9319.812.96.8913.415.9-2.57
Earl Watson1211-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-1057.814.7-6.9116.815.31.50
Dorell Wright88-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-6-315.613.71.8912.515.7-3.25
LaMarcus Aldridge7881-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-8114.511.53.0015.316.4-1.17
Will Barton2022-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-3-914.513.70.8415.215.6-0.33
Robin Lopez7876-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.03-10-5-513.316.4-3.1515.814.31.48
Damian Lillard8689-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-8-7-114.68.56.0215.218.3-3.13
Wesley Matthews8183-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-10-5-513.515.9-2.3815.217.0-1.81
Nicolas Batum8990-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-3-914.66.48.1915.416.2-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 109, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,095.2%
MEM 97, MIA 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
MEM 94, POR 760.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%