inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 94 Excitement3.5 [1130] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +11.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 76 Comeback1.0 [1182] LVPDamian Lillard (POR): -12.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.011171%0.131-0.01650%-0.03
Ed Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.010.03686%0.0800.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.01965%0.101-0.02887%0.02
Tony Allen0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.021054%0.0700.00667%-0.01
Quincy Pondexter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03483%0.051-0.024100%0.01
Austin Daye0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00743%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.04560%0.024-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.150.00-0.06811%-0.062-0.022100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02470%0.0300.00250%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.021263%0.072-0.04333%-0.02
Victor Claver0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02570%0.0300.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01762%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031637%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.05517%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0340%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.020.011944%-0.025-0.1110%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.829.415.829.01.730.6131.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +24.8%
MEM +10.1%
POR -6.9%
MEM +20.9%
MEM +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPORNBAMEMPORNBA
this game15.717.315.4106.887.4104.1
season16.515.8102.9104.3
opponent15.315.5107.699.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.915.914.515.515.7
POR19.116.815.518.017.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol51500.430.070.35-0.2222-42616.215.01.1818.315.82.48
Quincy Pondexter44460.370.130.24-0.131711614.516.8-2.2317.816.71.05
Mike Conley57550.370.130.23-0.131711616.015.00.9717.516.90.57
Zach Randolph52500.270.230.040.07711-416.214.81.4416.318.5-2.22
Jerryd Bayless51520.260.240.030.18315-1215.815.50.3417.017.7-0.66
Tony Allen55520.210.29-0.08-0.09108215.416.0-0.5917.516.90.68
Ed Davis33350.200.30-0.09-0.09108214.216.5-2.2719.216.03.24
Tayshaun Prince37350.200.30-0.100.05513-816.515.01.5217.916.81.14
Darrell Arthur29290.150.35-0.200.06315-1214.616.2-1.6016.117.9-1.79
Austin Daye18200.040.46-0.420.07-119-2016.415.50.9215.817.7-1.84
Jon Leuer550.000.50-0.500.03-119-2016.815.61.2115.817.4-1.55
Keyon Dooling430.000.50-0.500.03-119-2016.215.60.627.017.6-10.63
Dexter Pittman430.000.50-0.500.03-119-2016.215.60.627.017.6-10.63

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nolan Smith550.00-0.500.50-0.031-192015.817.4-1.5516.815.61.21
Luke Babbitt1516-0.04-0.460.43-0.092-202215.617.6-2.0114.815.8-1.03
Eric Maynor3436-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-151216.417.8-1.3515.116.1-1.02
Will Barton1817-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-11418.217.01.1415.815.60.20
Joel Freeland3433-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-9016.917.5-0.6314.516.3-1.83
Meyers Leonard4951-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-8-10217.417.10.2416.514.52.02
Victor Claver4645-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-180-1818.915.43.5016.414.91.56
Damian Lillard7374-0.38-0.12-0.250.03-14-4-1017.317.00.3215.715.30.44
JJ Hickson6667-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-17-1-1617.417.00.4115.715.50.24
Wesley Matthews7374-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-17-1-1616.919.0-2.0715.317.6-2.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 93, DET 720.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
NJN 109, NYK 1010.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,095.6%
PHI 120, BKN 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%