NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	123		Excitement	4.3 [888]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +18.0%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.1 [726]		LVP	Delon Wright (DAL): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.02	17	71%	0.21	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	16	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	12	79%	0.17	9	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.29	0.02	0.12	18	80%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.04	0.07	7	88%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	89%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.01	0.06	17	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	13	85%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	30.4	14.4	36.2	1.8	35.5	142.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +57.6%

DAL -7.1%

UTA +14.7%

DAL -20.1%

UTA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.3	14.2	124.2	121.4	109.6
season	14.9	14.5		112.1	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.2		111.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.1	15.4	16.3	15.9
DAL	13.6	13.9	13.9	11.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-13	30	15.4	16.9	-1.54	13.4	13.2	0.20
Emmanuel Mudiay	29	30	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-8	20	15.0	16.3	-1.25	14.4	12.8	1.53
Royce O'Neale	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	1	2	15.9	16.0	-0.16	13.5	12.9	0.55
Bojan Bogdanovic	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	7	-10	15.9	15.9	0.03	13.2	13.5	-0.33
Rudy Gobert	76	74	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	15.9	16.0	-0.16	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Tony Bradley	23	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-6	16	16.0	15.9	0.16	13.9	13.1	0.81
Georges Niang	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-4	12	15.5	16.1	-0.53	13.7	13.1	0.57
Joe Ingles	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.45	-10	14	-24	16.8	14.3	2.48	12.9	14.1	-1.14
Donovan Mitchell	73	71	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.39	-11	15	-26	16.2	15.2	0.99	12.9	14.3	-1.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	72	74	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.57	17	-21	38	12.6	15.3	-2.72	16.1	15.3	0.86
Kristaps Porzingis	70	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-15	26	13.1	13.9	-0.87	16.5	14.3	2.23
Willie Cauley-Stein	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	13.3	13.3	-0.01	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-16	28	13.0	14.4	-1.42	16.2	15.1	1.08
Delon Wright	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	4	-12	14.2	12.9	1.33	13.8	16.8	-2.97
J.J. Barea	32	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-5	6	12.0	13.9	-1.94	16.2	15.8	0.44
Courtney Lee	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	6	-16	13.5	13.2	0.33	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	13.1	13.7	-0.59	16.6	14.0	2.55
Jalen Brunson	52	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	10	-24	14.1	12.4	1.77	15.9	15.9	0.00
Maxi Kleber	48	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.25	-31	27	-58	14.8	11.9	2.87	14.6	17.0	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, HOU 78	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
ATL 106, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	94.8%
SEA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0	94.7%