NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	3.8 [1062]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +12.4%
Houston Rockets	78		Comeback	1.1 [321]		LVP	Donatas Motiejunas (HOU): -13.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	18	72%	0.19	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	22	66%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	35%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	13	34%	-0.04	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	60%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	0%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	55%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	13	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	11	18%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.3	14.7	23.2	1.6	30.2	123.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.5%

HOU -7.5%

GSW +5.6%

GSW +10.2%

GSW +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.4	113.7	80.4	104.1
season	14.6	14.2		104.6	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		105.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	14.9	16.6	17.4	15.7
HOU	15.1	14.5	13.5	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	88	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	8	14	15.3	20.9	-5.52	14.5	10.7	3.83
Jarrett Jack	58	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	4	22	15.8	15.7	0.07	14.9	13.2	1.70
Andrew Bogut	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.31	26	4	22	15.2	17.2	-2.01	14.3	14.2	0.03
Klay Thompson	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	11	8	15.5	17.7	-2.24	14.6	12.0	2.62
David Lee	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	7	16	15.1	17.9	-2.80	13.9	15.6	-1.76
Carl Landry	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.14	7	23	-16	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.6	13.9	1.76
Festus Ezeli	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	34	-38	16.8	15.4	1.33	15.6	13.9	1.76
Harrison Barnes	37	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.12	6	24	-18	15.7	15.8	-0.07	13.2	15.0	-1.73
Draymond Green	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	21	-12	18.9	15.2	3.68	12.7	14.5	-1.82
Malcolm Thomas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	22	-14	19.0	15.6	3.43	8.0	14.6	-6.61
Kent Bazemore	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	22	-14	19.0	15.6	3.43	8.0	14.6	-6.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-22	14	8.0	14.6	-6.61	19.0	15.6	3.43
Thomas Robinson	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.24	-9	-21	12	11.6	14.6	-2.97	18.3	15.4	2.85
Donatas Motiejunas	42	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-37	44	14.2	14.3	-0.14	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Patrick Beverley	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.31	-15	-15	0	14.3	14.3	0.02	17.4	15.2	2.19
Francisco Garcia	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.24	-13	-17	4	14.6	14.2	0.42	18.2	15.0	3.20
Aaron Brooks	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-20	10	13.6	14.3	-0.74	13.4	16.0	-2.62
Greg Smith	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	-14	-2	15.2	13.8	1.41	17.8	14.8	2.95
Omer Asik	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-16	2	13.8	15.2	-1.41	14.8	17.8	-2.95
Carlos Delfino	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	-9	-12	15.4	13.4	2.01	16.6	15.1	1.48
Jeremy Lin	72	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-15	0	14.3	14.3	-0.02	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Chandler Parsons	75	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-13	-4	14.4	13.9	0.52	15.0	18.2	-3.17
James Harden	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	-11	-8	14.3	14.1	0.25	15.4	17.5	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
ATL 117, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
HOU 105, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0	95.2%