NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	121		Excitement	5.1 [495]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +25.2%
Detroit Pistons	124		Comeback	1.0 [659]		LVP	Peyton Watson (DEN): -8.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.23,0.25	0.21	0.10	0.06	17	68%	0.25	0	0.00	13	92%	0.04
Julian Strawther	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Bruce Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	4	85%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Christian Braun	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Joki?	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	19	59%	0.08	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Pickett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	11	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.02	12	83%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.04	-0.05	19	59%	0.21	5	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.04	7	55%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.12	-0.03	13	41%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.5	1.4	30.2	13.4	31.1	1.5	41.9	154.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.2%

DEN -5.0%

DET +13.9%

DET +6.7%

DET +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DET	NBA	DEN	DET	NBA
this game	13.0	15.0	14.2	116.3	122.8	113.5
season	14.8	14.1		119.6	115.3
opponent	14.2	14.1		107.0	116.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.5	12.3	12.2	14.2	13.0
DET	15.7	15.0	16.1	13.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeke Nnaji	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	13.9	12.8	1.05	16.5	14.6	1.82
Jalen Pickett	24	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	12.8	13.1	-0.33	15.2	15.0	0.19
Jonas Valan?i?nas	83	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-14	25	13.5	11.4	2.09	15.4	13.5	1.96
Julian Strawther	93	90	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.45	8	-11	19	13.4	10.4	3.00	15.4	11.9	3.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.	87	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-5	7	13.5	10.6	2.87	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Christian Braun	73	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	3	-9	14.1	10.6	3.52	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Peyton Watson	101	99	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-4	5	13.1	10.0	3.14	15.2	7.5	7.68
Bruce Brown	72	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	15	-33	13.7	11.6	2.10	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Jamal Murray	100	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	0	-3	13.2	9.7	3.43	14.9	19.0	-4.09
Nikola Joki?	89	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	5	-13	13.4	10.7	2.78	14.6	17.3	-2.71

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ausar Thompson	78	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-9	21	15.3	14.2	1.11	13.8	10.1	3.75
Tobias Harris	100	104	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	15.2	1.0	14.17	13.0	0.0	13.05
Jalen Duren	87	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-3	9	14.7	17.4	-2.70	13.4	11.0	2.37
Cade Cunningham	96	98	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.2	10.2	3.06
Daniss Jenkins	91	94	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	-1	5	15.2	13.4	1.81	13.4	10.0	3.37
Isaiah Stewart	86	89	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	15.0	15.1	-0.12	13.4	10.7	2.78
Ronald Holland II	56	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-8	19	15.0	15.1	-0.15	13.6	12.3	1.30
Duncan Robinson	74	78	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.9	0.14	13.9	10.6	3.29
Caris LeVert	71	74	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	5	-7	15.4	14.2	1.23	13.8	11.2	2.64
Javonte Green	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	7	-11	13.4	16.1	-2.74	13.9	12.5	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 107, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.86,0.9,1	94.7%
DET 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.99,1	94.6%