NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	3.6 [1090]		MVP	Alec Burks (MIA): +14.7%
Miami Heat	112		Comeback	1.0 [486]		LVP	Quinten Post (GSW): -8.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gui Santos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	8	81%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Knox II	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	13	26%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	16	42%	-0.05	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Quinten Post	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	8	106%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.04	18	60%	0.16	3	-0.01	9	78%	0.02
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	10	91%	0.14	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	3	117%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	13	38%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	34.0	15.8	26.3	3.7	27.2	137.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +45.8%

MIA +0.8%

MIA +0.3%

MIA +2.6%

MIA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIA	NBA	GSW	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.3	14.4	94.5	123.1	113.0
season	14.5	15.0		112.9	111.5
opponent	14.6	14.5		112.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	17.4	13.8	15.0	15.3
MIA	15.1	18.6	13.9	18.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	26	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-26	26	16.8	14.7	2.07	17.9	15.7	2.17
Gui Santos	33	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-24	22	15.2	15.4	-0.14	19.3	14.8	4.56
Kevin Knox II	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	14.1	15.4	-1.29	22.0	15.9	6.08
Trayce Jackson-Davis	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	14.1	15.4	-1.29	22.0	15.9	6.08
Pat Spencer	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	14.3	15.5	-1.16	24.4	15.4	9.02
Brandin Podziemski	59	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-22	18	15.2	15.7	-0.50	15.5	17.7	-2.16
Jonathan Kuminga	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.15	-13	-13	0	15.9	14.9	0.98	18.4	14.6	3.83
Buddy Hield	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-21	16	16.7	14.0	2.67	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Quinten Post	24	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-11	-4	16.0	15.1	0.97	16.8	16.1	0.66
Moses Moody	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.36	-23	-3	-20	15.4	15.2	0.14	15.3	17.6	-2.29
Jimmy Butler III	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-7	-12	15.5	15.0	0.56	15.0	18.7	-3.65
Gary Payton II	44	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	-5	-16	13.8	16.8	-3.01	14.1	18.6	-4.56
Draymond Green	48	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	-3	-20	14.4	16.4	-1.98	14.6	18.5	-3.85

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Herro	71	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.42	33	-7	40	15.4	19.7	-4.40	15.3	15.3	0.02
Haywood Highsmith	52	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	1	24	17.0	15.4	1.68	16.7	13.4	3.32
Bam Adebayo	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	3	20	15.4	19.3	-3.90	14.7	17.2	-2.53
Kyle Anderson	35	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.37	24	2	22	18.2	15.1	3.06	15.7	15.1	0.70
Davion Mitchell	56	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	12	2	18.1	13.4	4.70	16.0	14.3	1.65
Alec Burks	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	21	-16	15.0	17.9	-2.95	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Kel'el Ware	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	22	-18	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Andrew Wiggins	56	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	24	-22	15.1	18.2	-3.06	15.1	15.7	-0.70
Pelle Larsson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	22.0	15.9	6.08	13.5	15.5	-1.96
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	22.0	15.9	6.08	13.5	15.5	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 93, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 103, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%