NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	5.1 [624]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +13.6%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.6 [703]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	22	65%	0.19	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Crawford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	14	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	14	28%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	19	61%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	16	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	12	17%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.1	27.9	13.4	28.2	1.4	25.1	120.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.6%

HOU +8.0%

HOU +25.1%

HOU +9.1%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.5	14.2	113.0	95.6	113.4
season	15.5	13.3		115.0	113.1
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.3	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	17.3	19.2	17.0	17.1
ATL	12.9	16.2	14.2	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	0	18	16.7	18.9	-2.27	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Reed Sheppard	89	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.15	22	-4	26	17.0	20.0	-3.01	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Josh Okogie	89	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.15	22	-4	26	17.0	20.0	-3.01	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Jae'Sean Tate	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	1	16	17.0	17.3	-0.24	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Kevin Durant	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	-1	20	17.2	16.3	0.90	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	3	12	16.8	18.4	-1.62	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Amen Thompson	81	79	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.21	15	3	12	17.2	15.9	1.34	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Alperen Sengun	72	71	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	6	6	17.4	15.8	1.64	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Aaron Holiday	59	58	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	12	-6	16.2	18.7	-2.46	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Isaiah Crawford	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.21	10	8	2	16.5	17.2	-0.75	14.7	14.4	0.25
JD Davison	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.21	10	8	2	16.5	17.2	-0.75	14.7	14.4	0.25
Jeff Green	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	12	-6	17.0	17.1	-0.17	15.0	14.3	0.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keaton Wallace	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-12	6	15.0	14.3	0.68	17.0	17.1	-0.17
Dyson Daniels	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-7	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.15	17.5	15.4	2.05
V�t Krej?�	73	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-6	-6	14.6	14.2	0.39	17.4	15.9	1.48
Corey Kispert	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-3	-12	14.0	16.2	-2.28	17.0	17.3	-0.30
Christian Koloko	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-1	-16	14.2	15.1	-0.87	17.4	16.4	0.93
Luke Kennard	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-7	-4	13.6	16.2	-2.60	17.1	17.0	0.18
CJ McCollum	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	4	-26	14.4	17.0	-2.60	17.0	20.0	-3.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	4	-26	14.4	17.0	-2.60	17.0	20.0	-3.01
Mouhamed Gueye	89	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	2	-22	14.5	12.0	2.52	17.0	20.0	-2.98
Asa Newell	82	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	1	-20	14.1	18.4	-4.27	17.0	18.1	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 128, BKN 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SEA 104, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	94.9%
MIN 88, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.7%