NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	4.3 [778]		MVP	Jaylon Tyson (CLE): +16.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Comeback	2.9 [439]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -12.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Don?i?	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	20	63%	0.18	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Gabe Vincent	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	92%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	133%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Timme	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	8	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	10	42%	-0.01	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	15	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	21	54%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	11	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.11	15	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Proctor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	5	80%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.1	37.2	0.1	36.6	0.3	29.8	129.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.9%

LAL -1.7%

CLE +12.4%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.2	102.1	130.3	113.4
season	14.6	13.7		115.8	116.5
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	14.6	14.7	17.3	15.0
CLE	13.3	14.8	14.1	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	-22	14	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.4	14.1	1.36
Maxi Kleber	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	-22	14	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.4	14.1	1.36
Bronny James	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	-22	14	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.4	14.1	1.36
Drew Timme	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	-22	14	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.4	14.1	1.36
Jake LaRavia	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-11	-8	14.7	16.5	-1.80	15.0	11.7	3.30
Marcus Smart	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-19	8	13.9	16.4	-2.50	15.2	13.4	1.76
Gabe Vincent	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.40	-29	-1	-28	14.7	17.2	-2.49	14.4	14.1	0.25
Deandre Ayton	44	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	-7	-16	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.2	13.7	1.57
Jaxson Hayes	75	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	-8	-14	14.4	17.1	-2.76	14.4	14.3	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	-4	-22	14.6	16.4	-1.83	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Luka Don?i?	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	-8	-14	14.3	17.3	-3.00	14.1	15.4	-1.36
Rui Hachimura	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	-8	-14	14.3	17.3	-3.00	14.1	15.4	-1.36
LeBron James	59	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	-6	-18	14.8	15.3	-0.48	15.0	13.3	1.64

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	66	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.36	32	-2	34	14.7	13.7	0.94	15.6	13.8	1.79
Jaylon Tyson	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	6	18	14.4	14.3	0.06	14.3	16.4	-2.04
Jarrett Allen	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	11	8	14.9	13.6	1.37	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Dean Wade	48	46	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	13	4	15.2	13.6	1.58	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Thomas Bryant	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	2	26	14.7	14.0	0.66	15.9	14.1	1.82
Craig Porter Jr.	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	12	6	14.6	13.8	0.79	14.1	17.2	-3.15
Donovan Mitchell	76	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	11	8	14.3	14.6	-0.33	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	85	85	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.32	24	6	18	14.6	12.7	1.91	14.6	17.7	-3.04
De'Andre Hunter	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	12	6	14.5	14.1	0.37	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Lonzo Ball	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.23	8	22	-14	15.4	14.1	1.36	17.3	14.3	3.00
Tyrese Proctor	30	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.16	2	28	-26	16.7	13.3	3.41	15.6	14.7	0.90
Larry Nance Jr.	55	54	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.15	-1	31	-32	14.7	13.9	0.76	14.8	15.2	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 118, MIN 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHI 77, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 96, BKN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%